
Futures: The aluminum alloy 2611 contract opened at 23,430 yuan/mt today, dipped to 23,320 yuan/mt intraday where it found support before gradually rebounding amid consolidation. The full-day fluctuation range was 23,320-23,560 yuan/mt, closing at 23,435 yuan/mt, up 0.11%. On the intraday chart, prices repeatedly seesawed around the average price line, with a relatively balanced tug-of-war between longs and shorts. Intraday trading volume was released, while open interest rose in tandem, as funds continued to enter the market. On the 4-hour chart, the contract continued to consolidate at highs, with resistance from the previous high still overhead while support below remained solid. In the short term, prices are expected to continue consolidating at highs.
Spot: ADC12 market quotes remained largely stable today. On one hand, aluminum prices and futures have been relatively steady, with no notable changes on the cost side, providing little further impetus for spot prices. On the other hand, while end-use demand has improved slightly from earlier, the peak season has yet to clearly kick in, and the sustainability of the improvement in market purchasing remains to be seen. Against this backdrop, most enterprises are mainly holding prices steady and taking a wait-and-see approach. Some enterprises hold a mildly optimistic outlook for the market, but no widespread price hikes have materialized yet. In the short term, prices are expected to continue to consolidate on a strong note, with focus on subsequent aluminum price movements and the release of end-use demand.





