LME zinc prices to continueย outperforming SHFE zincย 

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Nov 16, 2023 10:16
์ถœ์ฒ˜: SMM
SMM understood that Yunnan implemented power rationing by around 10%, which mainly affected Honghe Prefecture and surrounding enterprises.

SMM understood that Yunnan implemented power rationing by around 10%, which mainly affected Honghe Prefecture and surrounding enterprises. However, considering adequate hydro-power supply in Yunnan, the total affected output within the month is expected to be only around 1,100 mt. In October, except for the maintenance at some smelters in Hunan and Gansu, other smelters basically resumed normal production. SMM refined zinc output rose sharply to 604,600 mt. In November, affected by routine maintenance at smelters and power rationing in Yunnan, the overall output is expected to decrease slightly to 598,600 mt. A combination of the off-season in north China, the sustained impact from environmental protection and decreased outdoor construction amid adverse weather will prevent galvanised consumption from improving significantly. Spot premiums weakened and social inventories increased amid high SHFE zinc prices and continued influx of imported zinc ingots including SMC, KZ and AZ brands. Considering that TCs have continued to decline in the fourth quarter and inventories still hover at low levels, zinc prices are expected to remain range-bound, with LME zinc prices continuing to outperform SHFE zinc prices.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
SMM ์•„์—ฐ๊ดด ์žฌ๊ณ , 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ธฐ์ค€ 23๋งŒ 2,800ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ 8์›” 27์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 3๋งŒ 7,100ํ†ค ๊ฐ์†Œ
34๋ถ„ ์ „
SMM ์•„์—ฐ๊ดด ์žฌ๊ณ , 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ธฐ์ค€ 23๋งŒ 2,800ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ 8์›” 27์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 3๋งŒ 7,100ํ†ค ๊ฐ์†Œ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
SMM ์•„์—ฐ๊ดด ์žฌ๊ณ , 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ธฐ์ค€ 23๋งŒ 2,800ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ 8์›” 27์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 3๋งŒ 7,100ํ†ค ๊ฐ์†Œ
SMM ์•„์—ฐ๊ดด ์žฌ๊ณ , 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ธฐ์ค€ 23๋งŒ 2,800ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ 8์›” 27์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 3๋งŒ 7,100ํ†ค ๊ฐ์†Œ
[SMM ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ] SMM ํ†ต์‹ ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ๋ชฉ์š”์ผ(9์›” 3์ผ) ๊ธฐ์ค€ SMM 7๊ฐœ ์ง€์—ญ ์•„์—ฐ๊ดด ์žฌ๊ณ ๋Š” ์ด 23๋งŒ 2,800ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ 8์›” 27์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 3๋งŒ 7,100ํ†ค, 8์›” 31์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 1๋งŒ 8,200ํ†ค ๊ฐ์†Œํ•˜์—ฌ ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์žฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ์†Œ๋ฅผ ๋ฐ˜์˜ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
34๋ถ„ ์ „
๋ ˆ๋“œ๋… ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ, ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ์•„์—ฐ-๋‚ฉ ์ž์› ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ ๋Œ€์ƒ์— ํฌํ•จ
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ ˆ๋“œ๋… ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ, ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ์•„์—ฐ-๋‚ฉ ์ž์› ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ ๋Œ€์ƒ์— ํฌํ•จ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ ˆ๋“œ๋… ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ, ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ์•„์—ฐ-๋‚ฉ ์ž์› ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ ๋Œ€์ƒ์— ํฌํ•จ
๋ ˆ๋“œ๋… ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ, ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ์•„์—ฐ-๋‚ฉ ์ž์› ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ ๋Œ€์ƒ์— ํฌํ•จ
๋ฏธ๊ตญ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€์œ„์›ํšŒ๋Š” ์•Œ๋ž˜์Šค์นด ๋ถ์„œ๋ถ€์— ์œ„์น˜ํ•œ ๋ ˆ๋“œ๋… ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์— FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ์„ ์Šน์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๋Š” Aktigiruq ๋ฐ Anarraaq ๊ด‘์ฒด์—์„œ ์ง€ํ•˜ ์žฅ๊ณต ์ฑ„๊ตด์„ ์ œ์•ˆํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์ฑ„๊ตด๋œ ๊ด‘์„์€ ๋ ˆ๋“œ๋…์˜ ๊ธฐ์กด ์„ ๊ด‘ ์‹œ์„ค์—์„œ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ๋˜์–ด ๋ ˆ๋“œ๋…์˜ ์šด์˜ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์„ ์•ฝ 14๋…„ ์—ฐ์žฅํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•œ๋‹ค. ๋ฏธ ์œก๊ตฐ ๊ณต๋ณ‘๋Œ€๊ฐ€ ์—ฐ๋ฐฉ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ์‹ฌ์‚ฌ๋ฅผ ์ฃผ๋„ํ•  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค. Teck์€ Aktigiruq์—์„œ ์•„์—ฐ ํ’ˆ์œ„ 15.8%์˜ ํ™•์ธ ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ 4,220๋งŒ ํ†ค๊ณผ ์•„์—ฐ ํ’ˆ์œ„ 11.8%์˜ ์ถ”์ • ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ 1,880๋งŒ ํ†ค์„ ๋ณด๊ณ ํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, Anarraaq์—์„œ๋Š” ์•„์—ฐ ํ’ˆ์œ„ 14.0%์˜ ์ถ”์ • ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ 1,700๋งŒ ํ†ค์„ ๋ณด๊ณ ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‘ ๊ด‘์ฒด ๋ชจ๋‘ ๋‚ฉ, ์€, ๊ฒŒ๋ฅด๋งˆ๋Š„๋„ ํ•จ์œ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ์€ ์กฐ์œจ๋˜๊ณ  ํˆฌ๋ช…ํ•œ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ์ ˆ์ฐจ๋ฅผ ์ง€์›ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ตœ์ข… ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ์Šน์ธ์ด๋‚˜ ์ƒ์—…์  ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ์˜๋ฏธํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€ ์•„๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
9์›” 2์ผ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE)๋Š” ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์œ„์ฐฝ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ๊ด€๋ฆฌ ์œ ํ•œ๊ณต์‚ฌ๊ฐ€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„, ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ง€์ • ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์กฐ์ •ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์Šน์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ƒํ•˜์ด์‹œ ๊ถํ—ˆ์‹ ๋ฃจ 3501ํ˜ธ ์ €์žฅ์†Œ์—์„œ ํ•ด๋‹น ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ €์žฅ ์ž๊ฒฉ์„ ์ทจ์†Œํ•˜๊ณ , ์Šน์ธ๋œ ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ 2๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€๋œ๋‹ค. ์ƒํ•˜์ด์‹œ ๋ฏผํ•ญ๊ตฌ ์ง€์ดจ๋ฃจ 2222ํ˜ธ ์ €์žฅ์†Œ์—์„œ๋Š” ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ €์žฅ ์ž๊ฒฉ์ด ์ทจ์†Œ๋˜๋ฉฐ, ์Šน์ธ ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ 4๋งŒ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์กฐ์ •๋œ๋‹ค.
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
LME zinc prices to continueย outperforming SHFE zincย  - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)