ANZ Bank Is Bearish Towards Iron Ore Prices, Citing Four Big Headwinds In China, Including Real Estate Downturn

Published: Jun 1, 2023 18:02
Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ Bank) is bearish towards iron ore prices, predicting that they would drop to around $95/mt, citing the following reasons.

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ Bank) is bearish towards iron ore prices, predicting that they would drop to around $95/mt, citing the following reasons.

1. Sluggish steel demand in China's real estate market during peak construction season is a major drag on iron ore and coking coal demand.

2. Tighter profit margins and efforts to curb losses at steel mills will slow steel production growth in the second quarter.

3. China's steel industry purchasing managers' index (PMI) reached 45 in April, the lowest level since December 2022.

4. The increase in the amount of steel produced using the electric arc furnace process is reducing the demand for iron ore.

More popular news

Key Takeaway from SMM 2023 Indonesia Nickel and Cobalt Industry Chain Conference: Global Nickel and Stainless Steel Market Outlook 2023-2027 and Indonesia’s Critical Role in Attracting Chinese Investment 


One Of China's Top Two Lithium Giant To Expand Capacity Aggressively As It Bets On Nev And Energy Storage Markets In The Long Run, Despite Cyclical Downturn Of Lithium Carbonate Prices





South China Battles Power Crisis, The Worst This Year








BHP Looking To Further Expand Iron Ore Production In Western Australia, Which Has Already Exceeded Initial Target 












Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Daily Brief Review of Coking Coal and Coke] 20260327
50 mins ago
[SMM Daily Brief Review of Coking Coal and Coke] 20260327
Read More
[SMM Daily Brief Review of Coking Coal and Coke] 20260327
[SMM Daily Brief Review of Coking Coal and Coke] 20260327
[SMM Daily Brief Review of Coking Coal and Coke] News side, some steel mills are expected to raise wet-quenched coke prices by 50 yuan/mt and coke dry quenching prices by 55 yuan/mt, effective from 00:00 on April 1, 2026. In terms of supply, coke producers currently saw good shipments, and coke inventory remained at a relatively low level. Meanwhile, coking costs increased significantly, strengthening coke producers' willingness to increase prices. Demand side, steel sales improved, and steel mills were in the stage of resuming work and production, with hot metal production trending upward, boosting their willingness to procure coke. Overall, the first round of coke price increases may be implemented next week, and the coke market is likely to hold up well in the short term.
50 mins ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Mar 27)
1 hour ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Mar 27)
Read More
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Mar 27)
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Mar 27)
The following table shows the ferrous and nonferrous metals movement on the SHFE and DCE on 27 Mar , 2026
1 hour ago
[SMM Analysis] Grain-Oriented Silicon Steel Prices Will Remain Consolidated Next Week, with Limited Fluctuations
1 hour ago
[SMM Analysis] Grain-Oriented Silicon Steel Prices Will Remain Consolidated Next Week, with Limited Fluctuations
Read More
[SMM Analysis] Grain-Oriented Silicon Steel Prices Will Remain Consolidated Next Week, with Limited Fluctuations
[SMM Analysis] Grain-Oriented Silicon Steel Prices Will Remain Consolidated Next Week, with Limited Fluctuations
[Grain-Oriented Silicon Steel Prices Will Remain in a Consolidation Trend Next Week, with Limited Fluctuations] Market feedback indicated that the current core downstream demand mainly came from transformer manufacturing enterprises. Affected by the industry's traditional off-season, enterprises had weak purchase willingness and mostly adopted strategies of consuming their own inventory and making small-volume replenishments on demand. Acceptance of current prices remained stable, but there was a lack of momentum for large-scale procurement, resulting in relatively weak actual transaction performance for grain-oriented silicon steel. Due to inventory pressure on some specification resources, traders had limited room for slight discounts.
1 hour ago