Global Macro Environment Is Still Highly Uncertain

Published: May 16, 2023 13:57
Source: SMM
SHANGHAI, May 16 (SMM) - The US non-farm payrolls rose 253,000 in April, far exceeding expectations, and its unemployment rate was 3.4%, hitting a new low since 1969.

SHANGHAI, May 16 (SMM) - The US non-farm payrolls rose 253,000 in April, far exceeding expectations, and its unemployment rate was 3.4%, hitting a new low since 1969. The labour market performed well, easing expectations for interest rate cuts. But on the other hand, the US April CPI rose 4.9% year-on-year, which was lower than market expectations and the previous reading. The US core CPI rose 5.5% year-on-year in April, which was in line with market expectations but lower than the previous reading. CPI data showed signs of slowing US inflation, giving the Federal Reserve room to pause interest rate hikes. US bank stocks plummeted again on Thursday, led by Westpac Banking Corp. Renewed fears of banking crisis has put pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates. Gold purchases by global central banks hit a record high compared with the same period of previous years in the first quarter. The US debt ceiling negotiation meeting has been postponed. The global macro environment is still highly uncertain. China’s economic data fell far short of expectations in April. M2 increased by 12.4% year-on-year, compared with 12.6% expected and 12.7% previously.

More popular news

China’s Central Bank Releases Key April Economic Data: RMB Loans Issued to the Real Economy, Newly-Added Social Financing, Newly Added RMB Loans, Balance of M2, M1 and M0, All Recording Enormous Growth       

EIA Cuts Brent and WTI Oil Price Forecasts for 2023 as Recession Fears, Inflation and Banking Crisis Overshadow OPEC's Production Cuts

Chile’s Latest Move Marks One Step Closer to the Establishment of Lithium Version of OPEC

Global Chip Market Will Decline 20% This Year

SMM Comment (May 11): Non-Ferrous and Ferrous Metals Go Down, Oil Outperforms on Firm Fuel Demand in the World's Largest Oil Consumer, Dollar Climbs, US April CPI Data Triggers Financial Market Volatility           

IMF: Western Sanctions against Russia Are Ineffective, European Economy Faces Multiple Challenges    

Dollar, Oil, Gold, Base Metals, Ferrous Metals All Go Down, EIA Cuts Oil Price Forecast

Goldman Sachs, Barclays warn: Fed will not cut interest rates this year

India to become Europe’s top supplier of refined oil products after massive purchases of Russian oil     

China To Actively Expand Domestic Effective Demand And Boost New Energy Vehicle Sales, National Development And Reform Commission Says         

Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and BoA Are Pessimistic, Here Is Why    


Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Falling SHFE Copper Futures Prices Stimulated Downstream Orders, Driving a Steady Recovery in Spot Discounts [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
1 hour ago
Falling SHFE Copper Futures Prices Stimulated Downstream Orders, Driving a Steady Recovery in Spot Discounts [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
Read More
Falling SHFE Copper Futures Prices Stimulated Downstream Orders, Driving a Steady Recovery in Spot Discounts [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
Falling SHFE Copper Futures Prices Stimulated Downstream Orders, Driving a Steady Recovery in Spot Discounts [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, Shanghai spot copper discounts are expected to continue a mild recovery. Futures prices declined somewhat, and downstream enterprise orders increased. From the market structure perspective, the price spread between futures contracts for the next month and the C contract narrowed, and suppliers’ willingness to ship to delivery warehouse may decline. Supply side, domestic copper and previously price-locked imported cargoes continued to arrive; coupled with social inventory remaining at high levels, overall circulating supply in the market is ample. Demand side, downstream enterprises continued to advance work and production resumptions, providing some support to spot premiums. Overall, spot premiums showed a pattern of slow recovery and gradual stabilization.
1 hour ago
Fewer Offers for Secondary Copper Rod in Hubei, Slow Pace of Resuming Operations
1 hour ago
Fewer Offers for Secondary Copper Rod in Hubei, Slow Pace of Resuming Operations
Read More
Fewer Offers for Secondary Copper Rod in Hubei, Slow Pace of Resuming Operations
Fewer Offers for Secondary Copper Rod in Hubei, Slow Pace of Resuming Operations
[SMM Flash] SHFE copper front-month contract closed at 101,850 yuan/mt at midday, down 580 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Secondary copper rod in Hubei was quoted at 101,900-102,000 yuan/mt, with an average premium of 100 yuan/mt against the front-month contract. At present, local copper rod enterprises resumed operations at a relatively slow pace, with fewer market offers and overall sluggish trading.
1 hour ago
Rising Activity in the Henan Copper Cathode Market
1 hour ago
Rising Activity in the Henan Copper Cathode Market
Read More
Rising Activity in the Henan Copper Cathode Market
Rising Activity in the Henan Copper Cathode Market
[SMM Henan Copper Cathode Flash] Today, the average spot price of copper cathode in Henan was reported at a discount of 295 yuan/mt. According to SMM, downstream copper processing enterprises in Henan gradually resumed work and production after the holiday, just-in-time procurement gradually started, and the market trading sentiment improved significantly compared with the previous period, with overall transaction activity rebounding.
1 hour ago
Global Macro Environment Is Still Highly Uncertain - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)