Review and Forecast of Nickel Spot Market

Published: Jul 14, 2022 13:02
Source: SMM
The non-ferrous metals market has been under pressure after the Fed's interest rate hike, shrinking balance sheet and other monetary tightening policies in early June.

SHANGHAI, Jul 14 (SMM) - The non-ferrous metals market has been under pressure after the Fed's interest rate hike, shrinking balance sheet and other monetary tightening policies in early June, which rattled the nerves of market players. During this period, the domestic pandemic situation improved significantly. The operating rates of downstream manufacturers such as alloys and batteries increased, and the lower spot price of pure nickel also encouraged downstream purchases of pure nickel. In terms of nickel briquette, the prices of briquette were higher than nickel sulphate for quite some time, and some salt factories thus sold off the briquette. However, the high nickel briquette prices have prevented stainless steel mills and alloy plants to purchase in large amount, hence there were few transactions for briquette.

It is expected that the supply of pure nickel will improve in July. The main reason is that the salt factories, that resumed the production of refined nickel amid lucrative profits, have reached normal production in July, and the output is also circulating in the market. According to the SMM research, the domestic refined nickel production added 8.74% MoM and 9.07% YoY in June, and is expected to rise further in July. In addition, although the current SHFE/LME price ratio of pure nickel has been dropping, LME nickel is likely to fall further in the context of a bear market. Coupled with weak domestic demand in July, the supply will be relatively sufficient against the demand situation.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
18 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
18 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
18 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
18 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
18 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
18 hours ago