Scarce supply and strong demand pushed up nickel ore prices

Published: Jun 23, 2021 10:53
The average CIF price of 1.5% ore last Friday stood at $64/wmt, flat compared to a week earlier.

SHANGHAI, Jun 23 (SMM) — The average CIF price of 1.5% ore last Friday stood at $64/wmt, flat compared to a week earlier.

Most sellers have sold out cargoes scheduled for July as large inflows of imports after the wet season will lower prices, tightening available cargoes in the market and keeping quotes at high levels.

CIF prices of 1.5% ore in the north stood at $70/wmt. Quotes are likely to rise further in view of higher profits of NPI and shipping rates. Traded CIF prices of 1.5% ore reached $67/wmt, but trading  volumes were small Quotations by mines also rose, with traded prices for Ni 1.4% ore of $38/wmt on a fob basis. Such prices were not mainstream prices. Prices of nickel ore will have room to rise amid current strong demand. Ni 1.5% ore prices are expected to stand at $65-70/wmt this week on a cif basis.

Shipping rates from the Philippines to China on June 18 stood at $21.75-22.05/wmt (the Philippines to southern Chinese ports-the Philippines to northern Chinese ports), up $4/wmt from a week earlier, due to tight shipping capacity, rent hitting a high and higher oil prices. The BDI rebounded and hit a four-year high amid high shipping rates. The index is likely to surge further in view of the current shipping demand.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
21 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
21 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
21 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
21 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
21 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
21 hours ago