Manufacturing activities across nickel downstream sectors retreated to contraction in February

Published: Mar 3, 2021 12:31
Manufacturing activities across nickel downstream sectors in China retreated to the contractionary territory in February.  SMM data showed that the purchasing manager's index (PMI) for downstream nickel industries, including stainless steel, electroplating, alloy and battery, stood at 46.93 in February, down 3.68 points from January. A reading below 50 indicates contraction.

SHANGHAI, Mar 2 (SMM)—Manufacturing activities across nickel downstream sectors in China retreated to the contractionary territory in February. 

SMM data showed that the purchasing manager's index (PMI) for downstream nickel industries, including stainless steel, electroplating, alloy and battery, stood at 46.93 in February, down 3.68 points from January. A reading below 50 indicates contraction.

  • Production sub-index extended declines due to the CNY holiday

The composite sub-index for production in February lost 1.69 points from January to 44.17 in February, staying in contraction. The production sub-index in the stainless steel sector dropped 1.14 points on the month to 44.1, as some mills conducted maintenance or reduced output during the Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday. But most of the large-scale stainless steel mills did not cut output sharply as decent profits and sufficient orders prompted them to produce efficiently. The production sub-index in the electroplating sector stood at 41.34. Many small and medium-scale electroplating plants were closed during the holiday, while several large-scale plants operated normally.

  • New orders sub-index remained in contraction in February

The overall sub-index for new orders in February declined 4.33 points on the month to 45.5 in February, remaining in contraction. The new orders sub-index in the stainless steel sector came in at 45.24. Compared with previous years, operations at Chinese stainless steel makers were less affected by the CNY holidays this year as workers were encouraged to stay at their workplaces for the holidays in order to reduce the possibility of being infected with COVID-19. In addition, foreign orders were also robust. In the alloy sector, the new orders sub-index stood at 47.21.

  • Raw materials inventory sub-index retreated to contraction as downstream users consumed less feedstock during CNY

The overall sub-index for raw materials inventories plunged by 20.24 points from December to 46.83 in February. The raw materials inventory sub-index in the stainless steel sector stood at 46.19. In terms of nickel raw materials procurement, stainless steel plants in February were more active than expected due to decent profits and expectations that high-grade NPI prices were likely to rise further. However, some steel mills reduced utilisation of high-grade NPI after they increased the proportion of stainless steel scrap. The sub-index for raw materials inventory slumped by 19.22 points month on month to 49.57 in February in the battery sector. Tight supply and high demand kept feedstock prices at high levels, which made downstream buyers cautious about purchasing.

  • Finished goods inventory sub-index fell to the contractionary territory

The overall sub-index for finished goods inventory fell 18.07 points on the month to 48.55 in February, retreating to contraction. The sub-index for finished goods inventory declined 20.38 points from January to 48.67 in February in the stainless steel sector. Trades almost halted during the CNY holiday while stainless steel mills operated normally.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
16 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
16 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
16 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
16 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
16 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
16 hours ago