SMM Morning Comments (Dec 4): Shanghai base metals were mostly lower, the LME complex mostly higher

Published: Dec 04, 2020 10:00 (GMT+8)
Shanghai base metals fell broadly on Friday morning, while their counterparts on the LME mostly cruised higher.

SHANGHAI, Dec 4 (SMM) — Shanghai base metals fell broadly on Friday morning, while their counterparts on the LME mostly cruised higher.

Shanghai base metals were mostly lower in overnight trading. Aluminium declined 2.4%, zinc slid 0.33%, lead weakened 0.2% and nickel fell 0.64%, while copper inched up 0.05% and tin advanced 0.25%.

The LME complex closed mixed on Thursday. Copper slipped 0.21%, aluminium fell 2.23% and lead weakened 0.93%, while zinc added 0.31%, nickel edged up 0.06% and tin firmed 0.64%.

Copper: Three-month LME copper weakened 0.21% to close at $7,658.5/mt in choppy trading on Thursday, with open interest decreasing 5,250 lots to 309,000 lots. It is expected to trade between $7,640-7,720/mt today.

The most-active SHFE 2101 copper contract inched up 0.05% to settle at 56,950 yuan/mt in overnight trading, and is likely to move between 56,800-57,300 yuan/mt today, while spot premiums will be seen at 100-160 yuan/mt.

The latest US initial claims for unemployment benefits hit a pandemic-era low, the Labour Department reported Thursday. The final Markit Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in at 58.4 in November, recording a fresh high since March 2015, while non-manufacturing PMI fell to its lowest in six months as the Covid-19 pandemic still had impact on new orders and business activities. The US stock market was hit by news that Pfizer expects to reduce half of the coronavirus vaccines it originally planned for this year due to supply-chain issues. Besides, tensions between the US and China escalated, with the US claiming to continue to impose restrictions over China, which dampened risk appetite. The US dollar index plunged to a fresh low in more than 2-1/2 years overnight, which limited downside space for copper futures.

Zinc: Three-month LME zinc added 0.31% to end at $2,758/mt on Thursday, with open interest increasing 2,380 lots to 245,000 lots. Zinc stocks across LME-listed warehouses shrank 325 mt or 0.15% to 219,950 mt. A weakening US dollar and increased hopes of US Republicans and Democrats breaking a stalemate over a new fiscal stimulus package supported zinc prices. LME zinc is expected to trade between $2,730-2,780/mt today.

The most-liquid SHFE 2101 zinc contract closed 0.33% lower at 20,860 yuan/mt in overnight trading, with open interest falling 1,695 lots to 87,364 lots. The Caixin/Markit services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose to 57.8, the second highest reading since May 2010, from October’s 56.8. But US-China trade tensions weighed on zinc prices. The January contract is likely to move between 20,700-21,200 yuan/mt today, while spot premiums for domestic 0# Shuangyan will be seen stable at 130-140 yuan/mt against the contract.

Nickel: The most-active SHFE 2102 nickel contract slumped to a nearly two-week low of 116,410 yuan/mt in overnight trading before recouping some losses to settle 0.64% lower at 117,430 yuan/mt, generating a V-shaped movement.

Lead: Three-month LME lead closed 0.93% weaker at $2,033/mt on Thursday, posting a two-day losing streak.

The most-traded SHFE 2101 lead contract edged down 0.2% to settle at 14,885 yuan/mt in overnight trading.

Tin: Three-month LME tin rose 0.64% to end at $18,925/mt on Thursday. Continued weakness of the US dollar index underpinned tin prices. LME tin is likely to trade between $18,500-19,000/mt today.

The most-liquid SHFE 2102 tin contract advanced 0.25% to close at 146,330 yuan/mt in overnight trading, and support below will be seen from around 145,000 yuan/mt today.  

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Sep 26, 2026 01:38 (GMT+8)
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Read More
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Peru sees 1 million t/y copper output boost within five to six years
Peru's Energy and Mines Minister Guillermo Shinno said the country expects to add about 1 million tonnes of annual copper production within five to six years through new mining projects. The world's third-largest copper producer anticipates 2026 output of 2.5 to 2.7 million tonnes, roughly unchanged from 2023 as declining ore grades and recurring social conflicts weigh on supply. The newly elected government is seeking to reverse that stagnation by cutting red tape; in the two months since taking office, mining companies have stepped up engagement with the ministry. Shinno said officials have identified 27 permits that could be eliminated from roughly 100 mining-sector requirements, without lowering environmenta
Sep 26, 2026 01:38 (GMT+8)
India copper producers seek GST cut as record prices raise working-capital burden
Sep 25, 2026 20:26 (GMT+8)
India copper producers seek GST cut as record prices raise working-capital burden
Read More
India copper producers seek GST cut as record prices raise working-capital burden
India copper producers seek GST cut as record prices raise working-capital burden
Indian copper producers are seeking a GST cut to 5% from 18%, citing rising working-capital requirements amid record-high copper prices.
Sep 25, 2026 20:26 (GMT+8)
Sulphuric Acid Shortage Emerges as a Constraint on Zambia’s Copper Growth
Sep 25, 2026 16:43 (GMT+8)
Sulphuric Acid Shortage Emerges as a Constraint on Zambia’s Copper Growth
Read More
Sulphuric Acid Shortage Emerges as a Constraint on Zambia’s Copper Growth
Sulphuric Acid Shortage Emerges as a Constraint on Zambia’s Copper Growth
Zambia’s sulphuric acid shortage is becoming a growing constraint on copper production and refining. Jubilee Metals reported acid costs rising by more than 200% in Q4 FY2026, while Sable cathode output fell to 250 t from 361 t in Q3. Government data also showed small-scale copper production down 35.2% YoY in H1 2026, highlighting the sector’s exposure to tight acid availability and higher processing costs.
Sep 25, 2026 16:43 (GMT+8)