The number of electric cars in the UK may reach 30 million in 2040

SMM: it is reported that driven by the government's policy of suspending the sale of internal combustion engines, the number of electric cars on British roads may soar to 30 million in the next 20 years.

According to a report released on July 27th by (ESO), a power system operator owned by (National Grid Plc), the UK is very likely to achieve zero emissions by 2050. Electric vehicles and heat pumps are the key equipment to replace gas-fired boilers.

National Grid said that by 2033, renewable energy generation, carbon capture and storage technologies would effectively reduce carbon dioxide more than power plants, and emissions from the power industry would be negative. In the absence of emission reduction technology, the amount of natural gas burned will be halved by 2038.

For the State Grid, correct prediction is very important. The government has a zero emission target bound by law, but whether it can be achieved technically depends on the development of the industry. There are also concerns that charging millions of electric cars could cause problems for grid operators without adequate planning and power grid upgrades.

Mark Herring, head of strategy at ESO, said: "We have seen the development of renewable energy power generation, including a significant increase in offshore wind power installations; the widespread adoption of electric vehicles in the UK; and more investment in hydrogen energy and carbon capture technology with gratifying results."

But ESO's forecast for electric cars is much higher than that of Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BloombergNEF), whose analysts expect 17 million electric vehicles to be on the road in the UK by 2040 and believe that the goal of phasing out internal combustion engines by 2035 may not be achieved.

State Grid said in the report that by 2050, when electricity market prices and electricity demand are low, as many as 80 per cent of households will be able to charge their electric vehicles intelligently; about 45 per cent of households will be able to create up to 38 billion watts of flexible electricity. to help manage peak and trough demand and balance power supply and demand.

The National Grid report also points out that the market share of pure electric vehicles will rise from 3 per cent in 2019 to 80 per cent by 2035; there will be 8 million hybrid heat pumps by 2050; the energy required for heating an ordinary house may be reduced to 30 per cent; and at least 3 gigawatts of wind and 1.4 gigawatts of solar power will need to be built each year between now and 2050 to help achieve the target.

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