SMM Evening Comments (Jun 23): SHFE base metals mixed as investors weighed reopening hopes against COVID-19 resurgence fears

Published: Jun 23, 2020 18:31
SHFE nonferrous metals closed mixed on Tuesday, as investors continued to weigh hopes of economic re-openings against signs that coronavirus infections are rising in some parts of the world.

SHANGHAI, Jun 23 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals closed mixed on Tuesday, as investors continued to weigh hopes of economic re-openings against signs that coronavirus infections are rising in some parts of the world.

 

Copper advanced 0.7%, aluminium rose 0.4% and tin gained 0.3%, while lead fell 0.6%, zinc shed 0.7% and nickel dropped 1.2%.

 

On the LME, the nonferrous complex, except for copper, were lower across the board as of 18:06 Beijing time.

 

Global markets had a turbulent session on the back of surprise comments from White House trade adviser Peter Navarro saying a hard-won US-China trade deal was “over.” Jangled nerves were soothed after Navarro clarified that the deal is not over and US President Donald Trump tweeted that the China trade deal was fully intact.

 

Data published Tuesday showed that the downturn in the eurozone continued to recover in June, giving the latest indication of the region’s economic health as it emerges from the coronavirus pandemic.

 

Flash purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data—measuring activity in both the services and manufacturing sector in the eurozone—came in at 47.5 in June, up from a final reading of 31.9 in May. The 50-point mark separates contraction from expansion.

 

Copper: The most-traded SHFE August contract rose after slipping to a session-low of 47,330 yuan/mt in early morning trade, and finished the day 0.65% firmer at 47,850. It is likely to test the 48,000 mark tonight.

Copper prices remained supported by uncertainty surrounding supply from mines in South America where the coronavirus situation is severe.

 

Aluminium: The most-liquid SHFE contract came off from session highs, but remained in positive territory. It finished the day 0.4% higher at 13,655 yuan/mt.  

 

Zinc: The load-up of short positions and liquidation of long positions pulled the most-active SHFE August contract off the 17,000 level to a session-low of 16,730 yuan/mt, before the contract recovered some ground to end down 0.71% at 16,790. The contract is unlikely to hold onto the five-day moving average tonight, given losses in its LME counterpart. Expectations of weaker consumption and concerns over the state of US-China trade deal weighed on market sentiment.

 

Nickel: The most-traded SHFE August contract extended overnight losses to a one-week trough of 101,240 yuan/mt, before clawing back some losses to close down 1.18% at 101,550. It is expected to remain weak and hover at 101,000-102,500 before the Dragon Boat Festival holiday begins on Thursday, in anticipation of pre-holiday caution among investors.

 

Lead: The most-active SHFE August contract extended overnight decline to a session-low of 14,400 yuan/mt, before recouping some losses to end down 0.62% at 14,455. Today’s loss sent the contract below the five-day moving average. The contract is unlikely to rebound substantially tonight, if its LME counterpart extends its losses.

 

Tin: The most-liquid SHFE August contract strengthened during the daytime session, ending up 0.34% at 138,260 yuan/mt.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
15 hours ago
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Read More
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
"Premier Li Qiang Leads State Council Meeting on Enhancing Effective Investment, Boosting Economic Growth"
Premier Li Qiang presided over an executive meeting of the State Council to study policy measures for promoting effective investment. The meeting noted that promoting effective investment plays an important role in stabilizing economic growth and strengthening momentum for development. It is necessary to innovate and improve policy measures, and intensify efforts to enhance the efficiency of utilizing funds such as central budget investments, ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, local government special bonds, and new-type policy-based financial instruments. In conjunction with formulating and implementing the 15th Five-Year Plan
15 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
15 hours ago
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Read More
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
"Guided by Xi Jinping Thought, Implement 20th CPC Congress Spirit, Apply New Development Philosophy...
Guided by Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, we will thoroughly implement the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China and the plenary sessions of the Party’s 20th Central Committee, fully and faithfully apply the new development philosophy, strengthen top-level design, build computing power interconnection nodes oriented toward national hub periods, major strategic regions, and key industries, establish a system of computing power interconnection nodes, improve the efficiency and service level of public computing power resources, and promote high-quality development of computing power.
15 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
15 hours ago
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Read More
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
Indirect Iran-US Nuclear Talks in Muscat Show Progress, Omani FM Mediates Tense but Efficient Discussions
After intensive indirect consultations, the new round of nuclear talks between Iran and the US in Muscat, the capital of Oman, has achieved phased progress. It is reported that during this round of talks, the Iranian and US delegations did not meet directly. Instead, Omani Foreign Minister Badr acted as an intermediary, conveying a series of core proposals, strategic concerns, and policy positions to the other side. The atmosphere at the talks was tense yet efficient. According to preliminary on-site assessments, although both sides continue to negotiate over specific terms, they have reached a consensus on the key objective of "continuing dialogue."
15 hours ago