May 20th SMM Nickel spot Price

On April 20, the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) issued an announcement approving the registration of "PTENICO" brand (Eternal) refined nickel (electrodeposition process, Ni99.96) produced by PT ETERNAL NICKEL INDUSTRY, with a registered capacity of 50,000 mt. The product has been eligible for physical delivery against SHFE nickel futures contracts since the date of the announcement. The product originates from North Maluku Province, Indonesia.

According to CREA report, stainless steel remains the dominant end-use for Indonesia's nickel despite ongoing "green nickel" marketing efforts. In 2025, 83% of nickel output will go to stainless steel versus 17% for EV batteries; by 2030, stainless steel is still projected to account for 51% of supply against 18% for batteries. Demand from the battery sector faces uncertainty as more EVs shift to nickel-free technologies. Indonesia, which produces over half of global refined nickel, faces mounting pressure from stricter environmental regulations and carbon taxes over its coal-powered production, along with broader supply chain risks. Separately, BMI (a Fitch Solutions company) raised its 2026 nickel price forecast to US$16,600/ton, citing policy uncertainty and rising supply risks.

Chinese Taiwan's stainless steel prices are poised for a sixth consecutive monthly increase, driven by persistently high raw material costs, rising international stainless steel prices, and another price hike by Tsingshan in Indonesia. The implementation of Indonesia's new nickel ore benchmark price (HPM) policy on the 15th, alongside China's Q1 GDP growth of 5% beating market expectations, has pushed nickel ore prices higher. Having risen steadily since December last year with a cumulative gain of NT$19,500/ton over five months, Chinese Taiwan's stainless steel prices are widely expected to rise again in May by NT$3,000–4,000/ton.