SMM Evening Comments (May 11): Shanghai base metals closed mixed, aluminium and tin gained more than 1%

Published: May 11, 2020 18:16
SHFE nonferrous metals ended mixed on May 11, following after they opened higher for the most part on Monday amid prospects for higher demand as countries including Australia, France and Spain started to reopen economies.

SHANGHAI, May 11 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals ended mixed on May 11, following after they opened higher for the most part on Monday amid prospects for higher demand as countries including Australia, France and Spain started to reopen economies. 


Shanghai copper extended its gains from the prior week and added 0.39% on Monday. Aluminium climbed 1.05%, tin increased 1.16%, while lead shed 0.18%, zinc eased 0.09% and nickel edged down 0.15%. 


The ferrous complex also traded in a mixed note. Iron ore slipped 0.32%, rebar went down 0.14%, coke fell 1.46%, while hot-rolled coil inched up and stainless steel advanced 3.95%. 


China’s central bank said on Sunday that it will step up counter-cyclical adjustments to support the economy and will roll out more flexible policies to fend off financial risks.


The SHFE will allow delivery of nickel briquettes against its futures contracts, starting from October 16, in response to rising demand for other forms of nickel, an essential raw material of stainless steel and electric vehicle batteries. 


Copper: The most-traded SHFE June contract rose to a session high of 43,950 yuan/mt as longs loaded up their positions. It erased gains in the afternoon session, finishing the day 0.39% higher at 43,500 yuan/mt. Technical support may expand the upside room of the contract, which is expected to test pressure from 44,000 yuan/mt. 


Aluminium: The most-liquid SHFE contract lost upward momentum after hitting an intraday high of 12,560 yuan/mt. It hovered around 12,535 yuan/mt before ending at that level, up 1.05% on the day. With the daily MACD red line shortening, the contract is likely to face heavy pressure from 12,700 yuan/mt. Social inventories of primary aluminium ingots in China continued to fall after the Labour Day holiday, as demand remained robust while arrivals were limited.


Zinc: The most-active SHFE contract relinquished gains from the previous week as loaded-up shorts sent it to an intraday low of 16,815 yuan/mt, settling it at 16,830 yuan/mt, down 0.09% on the day. China’s social inventories of zinc inched up 600 mt over weekend, and the slight increase suggests continued strength in consumption. The contract may see limited downsides given support from the raw materials front.


Nickel: The most-traded SHFE July contract gave up gains after it advanced to an intraday high of 103,450 yuan/mt. It ended 0.15% lower on the day at 101,610 yuan/mt, trimming gains from the previous week but staying above all moving averages. Bullish signals from the technical indicators and a rally in stainless steel futures may continue to support Shanghai nickel, which may test pressure from 103,500 yuan/mt. 


Lead: The most-active SHFE contract failed to break up pressure from the 60-day moving average as it followed its LME counterpart higher, ending 0.18% lower on the day at 13,895 yuan/mt. With the commissioning of new capacity, continued slide in domestic lead inventories and elevated prices of battery scrap, lead futures will remain rangebound with little downsides or upsides. 


Tin: The most-liquid SHFE July contract received a boost from rising longs, as it climbed to a session high of 131,640 yuan/mt and ended the day 1.16% higher at 131,130 yuan/mt. Pressure above is seen from 132,000 yuan/mt. 

 

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Panguna Copper-Gold Mine Camp Attacked, Highlighting Security Risks to Redevelopment
26 mins ago
Panguna Copper-Gold Mine Camp Attacked, Highlighting Security Risks to Redevelopment
Read More
Panguna Copper-Gold Mine Camp Attacked, Highlighting Security Risks to Redevelopment
Panguna Copper-Gold Mine Camp Attacked, Highlighting Security Risks to Redevelopment
The Autonomous Bougainville Government said the Lloyds Panguna Metals & Energy Limited camp at the Panguna copper-gold mine was attacked on September 13. Personnel were assaulted and machinery was damaged in an arson attack. Authorities have not disclosed the extent of injuries or equipment losses. President Ishmael Toroama condemned the incident and said the government would continue pursuing the mine’s redevelopment.
26 mins ago
NICICO Puts Iran’s Copper Ore Resources at 24.5bn Tonnes; Exploration Drilling Nears 200,000 Metres
26 mins ago
NICICO Puts Iran’s Copper Ore Resources at 24.5bn Tonnes; Exploration Drilling Nears 200,000 Metres
Read More
NICICO Puts Iran’s Copper Ore Resources at 24.5bn Tonnes; Exploration Drilling Nears 200,000 Metres
NICICO Puts Iran’s Copper Ore Resources at 24.5bn Tonnes; Exploration Drilling Nears 200,000 Metres
According to Iranian media reports citing Seyed Mostafa Feiz, CEO of the National Iranian Copper Industries Company (NICICO), Iran’s geological copper ore resources rose to 24.5 billion tonnes from 22.2 billion tonnes at the start of the Iranian year, up 10.6%. Mineable (designable) reserves increased to 18.2 billion tonnes from 16.8 billion tonnes, while 198,462 metres of exploration drilling were completed in the first five months—about 40% of the 500,000-metre full-year target. At Miduk, mineable reserves rose 123% to 1.77 billion tonnes and geological resources increased 186% to 2.883 billion tonnes. The Sarcheshmeh cluster’s mineable reserves reached 7.7 billion tonnes at an average grade of 0.41%, with the mine’s operating permit extended through Iranian year 1429 (around 2050–51). Total material extracted during the period exceeded 153 million tonnes, up about 4% year on year; this figure includes sulphide ore, oxide material and waste rock, and is not copper production. The expanded resource and reserve base supports Iran’s longer-term development potential, but does not imply an immediate increase in supply.
26 mins ago
Raptor Metals Defines New Drill Targets at Chester Copper Project
26 mins ago
Raptor Metals Defines New Drill Targets at Chester Copper Project
Read More
Raptor Metals Defines New Drill Targets at Chester Copper Project
Raptor Metals Defines New Drill Targets at Chester Copper Project
Raptor Metals (ASX:RAP, formerly Eastern Metals) said borehole electromagnetic surveys across 12 drill holes at its Chester copper project in New Brunswick’s Bathurst Mining Camp have identified multiple conductors closely associated with known copper mineralisation. The BHEM results also show strong off-hole responses, providing clearer targets for follow-up drilling. The company said the conductors correlate well with previous VTEM and magnetic anomalies, supporting the interpretation that the Chester mineralised trend continues to the west. The 2026 drilling has validated Chester as a stacked copper-rich VMS system, with intercepts including 3.16m at 3.03% Cu in CDH001 and 10m at 0.98% Cu, 4.88% Zn, 1.64% Pb and 24.4g/t Ag in CDH004. Chester currently hosts a JORC 2012 resource of 6.685Mt at 1.07% Cu, containing around 158.6Mlb of copper, with mineralisation open along strike and at depth. The project remains at the exploration and resource-growth stage, with no direct near-term impact on copper supply.
26 mins ago