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[SMM analysis] Import and export of recycled aluminum increased significantly in March, or will decline significantly in April.
Apr 27,2020 18:35CST
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SMM, April 27, 2020:

Waste aluminum:

According to the latest customs data, a total of 77000 tons of waste aluminum were imported in March 2020, down 39.1 percent from the same period last year and 29.8 percent more than the previous month. From January to March, a total of 199000 tons of waste aluminum were imported, down 40.1 percent from the same period last year.

The increase in the amount of imported waste aluminum is mainly due to the volume of processing trade, and this increase is mainly due to the significant increase in the export of aluminum alloy ingots from processing trade. Due to the epidemic situation affecting the problem of non-synchronization at home and abroad, recycled aluminum enterprises resumed production in March and rushed to hand over previous export orders, resulting in a significant increase in the amount of waste aluminum imported as a result of processing trade exports in March. However, it can not be ignored that under the influence of the epidemic, recycled aluminum consumption at home and abroad has declined significantly compared with the same period last year.

After entering Q2, the supply from the approval document, Q1 import waste aluminum approval document a total of 285000 tons, Q1 actual waste aluminum import volume 199000 tons, Q1 surplus approval document 86000 tons. Combined with Q2 has announced the approval document (4-5 batches) of 192000 tons, after the import of April, the import of waste aluminum approval document is still 278000 tons, is still very sufficient. Demand from the impact of the epidemic, the outbreak began in mid-March overseas, recycled aluminum enterprises generally feedback that export orders fell sharply in April. Therefore, at present, the amount of imported waste aluminum approval is still relatively sufficient, Q2 import waste aluminum approval is still in a state of surplus.

 

Unwrought aluminum alloy:

According to customs data, imports of unwrought aluminum alloy in March 2020 were 83200 tons, an increase of 1049.5 percent over the same period last year and 44.8 percent over the previous month. From January to March, imports totaled 202100 tons, an increase of 797.4 percent over the same period last year. In March 2020, the export volume of unwrought aluminum alloy was 37600 tons, down 24.4% from the same period last year, and an increase of 376.3% over the previous month. From January to March, exports totaled 54000 tons, down 60.3 percent from the same period last year.

According to SMM, the export increment of unwrought aluminum alloy is mainly caused by the backlog of orders handed in by recycled aluminum enterprises in March. This part of the data increment can be confirmed by a significant increase in the import volume of imported waste aluminum processing trade. However, according to corporate feedback, due to the impact of the epidemic, export orders fell sharply in April, and even some exports were transferred to domestic sales, and the export volume of unwrought aluminum alloy in April is expected to decline significantly.

The increase in import data is mainly due to the delivery of orders before the Spring Festival. Due to the narrowing of price differentials at home and abroad, new import orders for aluminum ingots have dropped sharply, which is expected to be reflected in April, so imports of unwrought aluminum alloy are expected to fall back significantly in April. From the point of view of the import country, it is still dominated by Malaysia, South Korea and other countries of origin. However, after entering April, the market feedback on the import of Indonesian supply increased significantly, and it is expected that the proportion of unwrought aluminum alloy imported in different regions will change obviously in April.

(Shanghai Nonferrous Network Yi Liang)

Waste aluminum
recycled aluminum
import and export

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