[SMM News] Nickel prices opened up nearly 2 per cent and managed to recover 100, 000

Published: Apr 24, 2020 09:38

SMM4 24: April 24, Shanghai nickel morning opening pull up, as of about 09:25, Shanghai nickel main contract 2006 reported 100750 yuan / ton, an increase of nearly 1.8%, successfully recovered 100, 000 mark.

Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte (Rodrigo Duterte) ordered an extension of the increased community quarantine, which includes Manila Metropolis, Central Luzon and Karabasson, until May 15, according to today's news. Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte (Rodrigo Duterte) has ordered an extension of increased community quarantine, including Manila Metropolis, Central Luzon and Karabasson, until May 15, according to SMM research. The central region of Luzon includes (Zambales), three Chillis provinces. As one of the main mining areas in the Philippines, Zambales is mainly medium and high nickel mine, but the shipment volume in this area is relatively small, which is expected to affect the export volume of 2-3 ships. The rest of the mining area is not within the scope of this extension, if there are no new regulations, according to the new document, may be normal shipment from May 1.

Separately, Bambang Gatot Ariyono, Indonesia's director-general of coal and minerals, said yesterday (Thursday) that Indonesia's Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources had revised its rules on mineral prices, including setting floor prices for nickel mines and so on. The purpose of the regulation is to prevent local smelting companies from buying ores at excessively low prices, especially after the country has banned the export of raw nickel ores. The revised law was signed on April 14 but was made public only on Thursday and will come into effect on May 14. Under the new rules, the monthly benchmark price set by Indonesia's Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources will be used as the floor price for nickel trading. The new regulations stipulate that the price of NI:1.7% grade nickel ore is US $26.35FOB / wet ton, that of NI:1.8% grade nickel ore is US $29.45FOB / wet ton, and that of NI:1.9% grade nickel ore is US $32.72FOB / wet ton.

According to SMM, the document said the ministry would allow the minimum price to be 3 per cent lower than the reserve price. Indonesia, a leading nickel producer, halted exports of nickel ore in January because it aims to build a complete domestic industrial chain by processing the ore into metals and chemicals used in electric car batteries. Before the export ban, miners had said local smelters were paying too low a price below the benchmark price announced by the Ministry of Energy and Mines, which was also used by the government to calculate royalties that miners had to pay.

The official document was issued, although the price was slightly lower than expected. However, according to SMM research, because Indonesia is rich in local nickel resources and smelters have a centralized production capacity, and has a say in nickel pricing, the mine price has been at a lower level, 1.7 per cent laterite nickel mine is generally about $20 / wet tonne, which is very different from the price exported to China (the mainstream Indonesian nickel mine in the Chinese market sold for about $61 / wet ton 1.65 per cent years ago), and the mine profit level is low. After the implementation of the ban, the Indonesian government's nickel mine trade revenue has been greatly reduced, and the interests of the miners have been damaged a lot. And the benefits of building iron plants in the short term are more difficult to show, so Indonesia has repeatedly heard rumors that it is going to open up the ban again. Once the official pricing is implemented, the benefits will be increased for Indonesian nickel miners, but in the same way, the move will raise the cost of Indonesia's nickel pig iron smelter. Costs have risen more for some of China's biggest Indonesian companies to build nickel and iron.

Recent important nickel market news related reading:

"[SMM analysis] the extension of the new isolation in the Philippines will cover the Zambales mining area until May 15, which is expected to affect the export volume of 2-3 ships.

"[SMM Analysis] New Indonesian regulations set a minimum Price for Nickel Mines the cost of Nickel Pig Iron smelters will be increased

2020 China International stainless Steel Industry Market and Application Development Forum

Scan QR codes, apply to attend the meeting or join the SMM Metal AC Group

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
23 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
23 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
23 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
23 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
23 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
23 hours ago