[SMM brief comment] Macro mood easing Nickel Price small rebound up and down there is resistance Shanghai Nickel will continue to fluctuate in the short term

Published: Apr 23, 2020 17:00

SMM, 23 April:

Shanghai nickel opened at 98300 yuan / ton today, as crude oil prices rebounded yesterday and domestic basic metals rose today. After the opening of the morning market, the bulls' confidence recovered, Shanghai Nickel opened up to 99670 yuan / ton, touched the 60-day moving average pressure and gradually fell back, running below the daily moving average of 98500 yuan / ton, during the period to 98337 yuan / ton is the lowest point in the day. Afternoon long back to the bottom of the 10-day moving average support, in this position to add Cang Shanghai nickel quickly break through the daily moving average, and short in the 99000 yuan / ton line for competition. Until the short strength weakened in late trading, Shanghai nickel closed up at 99500 yuan / ton today, up 1530 yuan / ton, or 1.56%, from yesterday's settlement price. The trading volume was reduced by 67482 hands to 180000 hands, and the position was reduced by 5430 hands to 83940 hands. Today, the macro mood has eased, although the nickel price has rebounded, but has not yet broken through the upper 60-day moving average pressure, and the short has not done too much to test the 10 / 40-day moving average below, the main month short positions have also moved to 07 contracts one after another. In the current situation of multiple EMA entangled, it is expected that the short-term nickel price is more difficult to break through the change area, pay attention to the direction of the outer plate in the evening.

[for more information, please subscribe to SMM Nickel Research Group products "China Nickel Chromium stainless Steel Industry chain General report" and "China Nickel Chrome stainless Steel Industry chain High end report" to obtain the latest nickel mine, nickel pig iron (China + Indonesia), electrolytic nickel, nickel sulfate, chromium ore, ferrochromium, stainless steel (China + Indonesia) related data analysis and market analysis! For ordering and trial reading, please call 021-5166 6775 QQ: 1553 928752, contact: Zhang Lingying]

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
23 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
23 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
23 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
23 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
23 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
23 hours ago