[SMM Flash] Temporary Controls on Phosphate Fertiliser Exports Are Expected to Be Lifted
According to the latest policy developments, starting from September 1, 2026, China will resume normal export declaration for agricultural phosphate fertilisers. The earlier phased export controls (suspension of declarations) implemented from March 14 to August 31 were intended to prioritise ensuring fertiliser supply for China’s spring ploughing season; the ban is set to expire and be lifted at month-end August. From September 1, monoammonium phosphate (MAP), diammonium phosphate (DAP), and various types of agricultural phosphorus-containing compound fertilisers will resume export customs clearance.
As direct exports of Iranian phosphate fertilisers (finished products such as MAP/DAP), which account for about 10% of global fertiliser trade volume, are restricted, international phosphate fertiliser prices are currently significantly higher than those in China. In the Baltic region, MAP quotations converted into yuan are nearly 1,000 yuan higher than China’s EXW price. After exports are reopened, industry leaders with export capabilities are expected to repair performance by taking on export orders, and are expected to achieve a situation of increased export volumes during China’s off-season.