SMM Morning Comments (Feb 13): Shanghai base metals rose as coronavirus fears receded

Published: Feb 13, 2020 09:28
Market sentiment was lifted amid optimism that the economic impact of the coronavirus will be contained

SHANGHAI, Feb 13 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals traded mostly higher on the morning of Thursday as market sentiment was lifted amid optimism that the economic impact of the coronavirus will be contained. 


LME base metals, except for aluminium, ended higher last night. LME copper advanced 0.66%, zinc added 0.02%, nickel grew 0.27%, tin rose 0.33%, lead increased 0.19%, while aluminium eased 0.32%. The SHFE night trading session has been suspended since last week until further notice.

 

Copper: Three-month LME copper extended its increase, ending up 0.66% on the day at $5,763/mt, on the back of growing hopes that the spread of the coronavirus had slowed. Improved risk appetite and elevated oil prices on output cut prospects also supported copper prices. Bullish signals from technical indicators are likely to keep LME copper at $5,750-5,800/mt today, with the most-traded SHFE contract at 45,700-46,100 yuan/mt. Spot discounts may stop deepening and stood at 80-40 yuan/mt. 


Zinc: Three-month LME zinc traded rangebound at low levels and finished the trading day 0.02% higher at $2,154.5/mt. LME zinc inventories continued to increase by 575 mt to 72,600 mt, at a slower growth rate. While the epidemic impact may delay the resumption of some downstream producers till the second half of February, potential output cut on rising stocks of sulphuric acid and feedstock shortage may cap any downside room in zinc prices. Three-month LME zinc is expected to trade between $2,130-2,180/mt today, with the most-traded SHFE contract at 16,950-17,400 yuan/mt. 


Nickel: Three-month LME nickel hovered in a broad range with pressure from the 40-day moving average, before it closed up 0.27% on the day at $13,155/mt. Whether the K-indicator will hold firm above the 20-day moving average will be watched today. 


Lead: Three-month LME lead hit an intraday high of $1,858.5/mt before it trimmed some gains and closed 0.19% higher on the day at $1,851.5/mt. Prices have shown signs of stabilising after the previous decline. 


Tin: Three-month LME tin received support from the 10-day moving average as it rebounded from an intraday low of $16,380/mt and gained $55/mt on the day to finish at $16,570/mt. Support is expected from $16,300/mt today. 

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Fed Officials Publicly Clash Over Next Steps in Monetary Policy Amid Inflation Concerns
2 hours ago
Fed Officials Publicly Clash Over Next Steps in Monetary Policy Amid Inflation Concerns
Read More
Fed Officials Publicly Clash Over Next Steps in Monetary Policy Amid Inflation Concerns
Fed Officials Publicly Clash Over Next Steps in Monetary Policy Amid Inflation Concerns
Divisions within the US Fed over the next direction of monetary policy have become increasingly public. Richmond Fed President Barkin on Thursday laid out the case for keeping interest rates unchanged, while warning of persistent inflation risks; Cleveland Fed President Hammack again reiterated her call for rate hikes, extending the dissent she voiced at the July policy meeting.
2 hours ago
Jilongshan Gold Mining Launches 4-Month Reserve Verification Project, Aiming to Add 2.4M mt Ore & 2t Gold
2 hours ago
Jilongshan Gold Mining Launches 4-Month Reserve Verification Project, Aiming to Add 2.4M mt Ore & 2t Gold
Read More
Jilongshan Gold Mining Launches 4-Month Reserve Verification Project, Aiming to Add 2.4M mt Ore & 2t Gold
Jilongshan Gold Mining Launches 4-Month Reserve Verification Project, Aiming to Add 2.4M mt Ore & 2t Gold
The reserve verification exploration project of Hubei Jilongshan Gold Mining Co., Ltd. broke ground, marking the project’s official shift from planning, decision-making, and design validation to the substantive construction stage. This exploration program will last four months, with the core drilling work planned to complete 32 drill holes totaling 11,000 m of footage within two months. According to preliminary estimates, the project is expected to add 2.4 million mt of ore, 2 mt of gold metal content, and 4,500 mt of copper metal content.
2 hours ago
Codelco's El Teniente Copper Mine Project to Resume, Targeting 2029 Production Amid Seismic Risks
2 hours ago
Codelco's El Teniente Copper Mine Project to Resume, Targeting 2029 Production Amid Seismic Risks
Read More
Codelco's El Teniente Copper Mine Project to Resume, Targeting 2029 Production Amid Seismic Risks
Codelco's El Teniente Copper Mine Project to Resume, Targeting 2029 Production Amid Seismic Risks
Codelco executive Gustavo Reyes said the company's stalled El Teniente copper mine project is expected to begin production in 2029.On August 4, Codelco said it had suspended the project, which aims to develop the Andes Norte area of the vast underground mine. Earlier, the latest studies showed that the mine faced higher seismic risk than initially expected.
2 hours ago
SMM Morning Comments (Feb 13): Shanghai base metals rose as coronavirus fears receded - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)