SMM Evening Comments (Feb 6): Base metals mostly rose as virus concerns ease

Published: Feb 6, 2020 18:59
Copper led the increase and closed 1.41% higher

SHANGHAI, Feb 6 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals, except for lead, ended higher on Thursday on the back of a decline in concerns over the coronavirus impact on the global economy. 


Copper led the increase and closed 1.41% higher. Aluminium climbed 0.4%, zinc added 0.2%, tin advanced 1.21%, nickel rose 0.05%, while lead eased 0.18%.  


The ferrous complex also traded higher as iron ore rebounded 0.94%, rebar increased 0.12%, hot-rolled coil added 0.06%, stainless steel gained 0.08%, and coke grew 0.96%. 

 

The SHFE night trading session will remain suspended tonight. 


Copper: The most-liquid SHFE 2003 contract rallied for the third consecutive session on Thursday amid optimism that progress was being made containing the coronavirus. The contract shrugged off resistance from 46,000 yuan/mt and hit an intraday high of 46,330 yuan/mt, before it closed up 1.41% on the day at 46,040 yuan/mt. Upbeat private payrolls data from the US eased concerns about weakness in the global economy, and this also supported copper prices. Market confidence on measures that are being taken to mitigate the spread of the virus is highly likely to sustain a price rally. Support from 46,000 yuan/mt will be monitored. 


Aluminium: Short-covering buoyed the most-traded SHFE 2003 contract, which climbed to an intraday high of 13,680 yuan/mt and ended 0.4% higher on the day at 13,670 yuan/mt. SMM retains the view that the price rally will be capped before full recovery of downstream consumers. 


Zinc: The most-traded SHFE 2003 contract hovered steadily in a narrow band and finished the day slightly higher at 17,335 yuan/mt. Trades were thin amid cautious investors with open interest down 1,386 lots to 57,398 lots. The rangebound trend may continue this week. 


Nickel: The most-traded SHFE 2004 contract found support from 105,000 yuan/mt, and extended the price increase from the prior two days, ending 0.05% higher at 105,070 yuan/mt. The K-indicator faced pressure from the 10-day moving average. 


Lead: The most-liquid SHFE 2003 contract extended a rangebound trend, losing 0.18% on the day to close at 14,175 yuan/mt. The decline in the five-day moving average has slowed. Near-term prices are expected to stay at low levels. 


Tin: The most-active SHFE 2006 contract continued to pare losses on Monday as loaded-up longs lifted it to a session high of 133,860 yuan/mt, before it finished 1.21% higher on the day at 133,380 yuan/mt. Pressure above is seen from 134,000 yuan/mt. 

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Copper Prices Rebound Sharply: Bad News Fully Priced In, or Fundamentals Reasserting Themselves?
Sep 18, 2026 17:56
Copper Prices Rebound Sharply: Bad News Fully Priced In, or Fundamentals Reasserting Themselves?
Read More
Copper Prices Rebound Sharply: Bad News Fully Priced In, or Fundamentals Reasserting Themselves?
Copper Prices Rebound Sharply: Bad News Fully Priced In, or Fundamentals Reasserting Themselves?
Sep 18, 2026 17:56
Doosan Invests $701.5M to Expand CCL Production in Korea and China Through 2028
Sep 18, 2026 17:29
Doosan Invests $701.5M to Expand CCL Production in Korea and China Through 2028
Read More
Doosan Invests $701.5M to Expand CCL Production in Korea and China Through 2028
Doosan Invests $701.5M to Expand CCL Production in Korea and China Through 2028
Doosan Group said on September 17 that it will invest approximately KRW 968.4 billion (about USD 701.5 million) to expand high-end copper-clad laminate (CCL) production in South Korea and China. Roughly KRW 421 billion will expand domestic CCL lines for optical modules, while about KRW 547.4 billion will build a new plant in Changshu, China, for AI accelerators and network switches via wholly-owned Doosan Electro-Materials Changshu, with an additional KRW 182.4 billion capital injection. The three-year investment runs through 2028, with new lines scheduled to begin operations in the second half of 2028. In H1 2026, utilization at Doosan's Jeungpyeong and Gimcheon plants reached 109.8% and 102.7%, respectively, while the China plant ran at 92.2%. Q2 2026 optical-module CCL sales jumped more than tenfold year-on-year to about KRW 50 billion, and network-board CCL sales reached KRW 369.2 billion, accounting for more than half of the Electronics Business Group's revenue.
Sep 18, 2026 17:29
Copper Cathode Rod Orders Expand, Inventories Decline; Production to Increase 2.31% WoW
Sep 18, 2026 16:18
Copper Cathode Rod Orders Expand, Inventories Decline; Production to Increase 2.31% WoW
Read More
Copper Cathode Rod Orders Expand, Inventories Decline; Production to Increase 2.31% WoW
Copper Cathode Rod Orders Expand, Inventories Decline; Production to Increase 2.31% WoW
[SMM Copper Cathode Rod Flash] New orders continued to expand, and with the holiday approaching, finished product inventories destocked at a faster pace. Production willingness at copper cathode rod enterprises strengthened, and the operating rate is expected to rise 2.31 percentage points WoW next week.
Sep 18, 2026 16:18