Shanghai nickel extended losses to lowest since July

Published: Dec 4, 2019 17:55
Prices were pressured by intensified fears of US-China trade war and stainless steel oversupply

SHANGHAI, Dec 4 (SMM) – Shanghai nickel prices plunged again on Wednesday, extending the losses from November albeit signs of slower decline at end November, pressured by intensified fears of US-China trade war and stainless steel oversupply. 

The most-active nickel contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange for February delivery fell to 103,360 yuan/mt, the lowest level since July 10, before ending down 3.95% on the day at 104,020 yuan/mt. 

Falling nickel prices drove more stainless steel producers in China to cut production or suspend for maintenance. Losses have spread across the industrial chain, with muted trades of nickel pig iron and nickel ore. 

Consumption of stainless steel remained weak. An SMM survey showed that manufacturing activities across nickel downstream sectors in China, including stainless steel, galvanising, alloy, and battery, stayed in contraction for the eighth consecutive month in November. 

On December 4, spot prices of #304 No. 1 stainless steel coil in Wuxi dipped 100 yuan/mt and stood at 13,400-13,500 yuan/mt, SMM assessments indicated. Prices of the product have slipped since mid-October from around 15,350 yuan/mt. 

Spot prices of refined nickel, meanwhile, also fell by 3,300 yuan/mt on the day to an average 108,250 yuan/mt for SMM 1# nickel. Downstream consumers restocked as needed on lower prices. 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
SMM Nickel Flash: High-Grade NPI Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Long-Short Tug-of-War
10 hours ago
SMM Nickel Flash: High-Grade NPI Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Long-Short Tug-of-War
Read More
SMM Nickel Flash: High-Grade NPI Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Long-Short Tug-of-War
SMM Nickel Flash: High-Grade NPI Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Long-Short Tug-of-War
[SMM Nickel Flash] On September 18, the average price of SMM 10-12% high-grade NPI fell by 33.1 yuan/nickel unit WoW to 1,062.4 yuan/nickel unit (ex-factory, tax included), while the average price of the Indonesia NPI FOB index dropped by $4.06/nickel unit WoW to $137.08/nickel unit. This week, the high-grade NPI market continued to drift lower overall, with the tug-of-war between longs and shorts intensifying.
10 hours ago
SMM High-Grade NPI Sentiment Index Rises Slightly, Market Shows Clear Divergence
10 hours ago
SMM High-Grade NPI Sentiment Index Rises Slightly, Market Shows Clear Divergence
Read More
SMM High-Grade NPI Sentiment Index Rises Slightly, Market Shows Clear Divergence
SMM High-Grade NPI Sentiment Index Rises Slightly, Market Shows Clear Divergence
[SMM Nickel Flash] On September 18, SMM's high-grade NPI market sentiment index stood at 1.79, up 0.02 MoM. The upstream sentiment index for high-grade NPI was 1.86, flat MoM, while the downstream sentiment index for high-grade NPI was 1.72, up 0.03 MoM. The NPI market is currently marked by clear divergence, with a persistent tug-of-war between longs and shorts.
10 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] Inventory Accumulation and Weak Demand Push High-Grade NPI Lower in Search of a Bottom
10 hours ago
[SMM Analysis] Inventory Accumulation and Weak Demand Push High-Grade NPI Lower in Search of a Bottom
Read More
[SMM Analysis] Inventory Accumulation and Weak Demand Push High-Grade NPI Lower in Search of a Bottom
[SMM Analysis] Inventory Accumulation and Weak Demand Push High-Grade NPI Lower in Search of a Bottom
The average price of SMM 10-12% high-grade NPI fell WoW by 33.1 yuan/nickel unit to 1,062.4 yuan/nickel unit (ex-factory, tax included), and the average Indonesia NPI FOB index price fell WoW by $4.06/nickel unit to $137.08/nickel unit. This week, the high-grade NPI market continued to drift lower overall, with the tug-of-war between longs and shorts intensifying.
10 hours ago