Subdued trades further weigh on rare earth prices

Published: Sep 29, 2019 18:24
Recovering demand from the magnetic material sector may trigger a price rally in Q4

SHANGHAI, Sep 29 (SMM) – Spot prices of rare-earth oxides in China extended their declines by over 1% in the week of September 27, as downstream magnetic material producers withheld from buying with a wait-and-watch attitude and other consumers restocked cautiously before the National Day holiday. 

The week-long customs clearance in Myanmar grew concerns about higher feedstock supply, which also dented the confidence in prices. But the overall decline in rare-earth oxides was limited as mixed rare earth carbonate originated from Myanmar usually hold stable at lows alongside offers by major producers. 

SMM assessments showed that prices of praseodymium-neodymium oxide dipped from an average 322,500 yuan/mt at the start of last week to 317,500 yuan/mt as of Friday September 27. Average price of neodymium oxide, meanwhile, slipped to 319,500 yuan/mt, from 324,500 yuan/mt on Monday September 23. 

For medium-to-heavy materials, prices of dysprosium oxide fell from 1.88-1.9 million mt to 1.85-1.88 million yuan/mt, with those of terbium oxide down from 3.89-3.91 million yuan/mt to 3.95-3.98 million yuan/mt. 

Prices of gadolinium oxide declined to 173,000-180,000 yuan/mt as of September 27, from 180,000-183,000 yuan/mt on September 23. 

SMM expects recovering demand from the magnetic material sector to trigger a rally in prices of rare-earth oxides in the fourth quarter after the holiday. 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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