[2019.7.24 minutes of nickel internal morning meeting] Ni prices continue to naturally reverse the malaise of stainless steel atmosphere

Published: Jul 24, 2019 10:32

On the macro front, Mr Trump reached a two-year budget deal with Congress and rising government discretionary spending dented investor fears that the US government would fall back into shutdown later this year. Us API crude oil stocks changed last week (10,000 barrels) (to 0719) the final value of-1096, the previous value-140; the data is smaller than the previous value, crude oil rose after the release of the data. Next week, China and the United States will hold a new round of face-to-face economic and trade talks in Beijing within a few days, stimulating the stock and oil markets to rise. Boris Johnson, former foreign secretary and former mayor of London, was elected leader of the ruling Conservative Party on July 23 and will take over as prime minister.

Nickel spot: July 23 SMM 1 # electrolytic nickel 112700 to 114600 yuan / ton. Russian nickel than Shanghai nickel 1908 sticker 300-stick 100 yuan / ton, narrower than yesterday. In early trading, the nickel price fell to less than 112000 yuan, stabilized and rebounded, to 113000 after a narrow range of shock, the morning transaction response was flat, more for traders to inquire each other, the lower reaches of the market buyers are less. Although the spot transaction is cold, but the holder because recently does not have the massive source of goods to flow into the domestic, basically by the straight rise discount water primarily. Jinchuan nickel than Shanghai nickel 1908 contract generally reported a water rise of 1400 yuan / ton, compared with yesterday continued to expand. Jinchuan nickel transaction is also light, but the recent Jinchuan nickel circulation is tight, resulting in a small rise in rising water. The ex-factory price of Jinchuan Company was quoted at 114500, down 1500 yuan per ton from yesterday, and the mainstream transaction was 112900 to 114700 yuan per ton. Afternoon nickel prices weakened slightly, spot trading sentiment continued in the morning, the overall transaction today is general.

Stainless steel: the market prices of 200 series and 300 series of stainless steel in Foshan area have been reduced by 50 yuan / ton, 201 / 2B coil price quoted at 8100 / 8200 yuan / ton, 304 / 2B rough edge roll price quoted at 15100 / 15300 yuan / ton. Some traders said that the current quotation is relatively stable, but the actual transaction price range is relatively large, due to the shortage of funds at the end of the month and bearish future market, some traders let profit shipment, 304 cold rolling in 14900 to 15200 yuan / ton range have a deal.

Inventory: 146700 tons of nickel in stock on 23 July, a decrease of 954 tons compared with 22 July.

Nickel price judgment: the early nickel price continued to rise more away from the fundamentals, this week the price of a rational return and part of the bulls profit is normal; wait and see follow-up attention to the capital side of the trend, at present, bulls have not yet had a large number of signs of withdrawal.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Feb 7, 2026 16:41
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
Feb 7, 2026 16:41
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Feb 7, 2026 16:40
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
Feb 7, 2026 16:40
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Feb 7, 2026 16:39
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
Feb 7, 2026 16:39