Aluminum Still Has Room to Rise on New Reason for Longs to Jump in, SMM Expects

Published: Aug 7, 2017 14:42

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Despite fading impact from supply side reform, aluminum prices still have room to rise this week since longs will find new reason to enter, SMM predicts.

SHANGHAI, Aug. 7 (SMM) –Despite fading impact from supply side reform, aluminum prices still have room to rise this week since longs will find new reason to enter, SMM predicts.

SHFE Aluminum Surges as Market Gets Sensationalized by Off-Peak Production Program in Hebei, SMM Reports

Impact on aluminum capacity and captive power plants from environmental factor will encourage investors to raise bullish bets, SMM explained. SHFE 1710 aluminum will trade mainly between 14,550-14,950 yuan/tonne.

SMM Data: China Aluminum Output Jumps in July

The decline in LME aluminum stocks slowed down. Weakening consumption pushed down premiums overseas. Hence, LME aluminum will continue underperforming SHFE aluminum and move between $1,900-1,930/tonne.

In domestic spot market, cargo holders will show low willingness to sell, while downstream demand will be poor in the off-season. Spot discounts should change little at 140-100 yuan/tonne.

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aluminum prices SHFE aluminum prices LME aluminum prices

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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