Key Macroeconomic Indicators for Base Metal Prices (2017-7-24)

Published: Jul 24, 2017 09:33 (GMT+8)
Market will eye manufacturing PMI from the US and the euro zone, US home sales and meeting between OPEC and non-OPEC countries today.

SHANGHAI, Jul. 24 (SMM) –Market will eye manufacturing PMI from the US and the euro zone, US home sales and meeting between OPEC and non-OPEC countries today.

The US dollar index fell below 94 last Friday as hawkish remarks by ECB president triggered selloffs of US dollar. The dollar will remain weak for the near term. US crude oil futures prices for September delivery fell 2.81% following news on OPEC supply.  

The euro zone’s manufacturing PMI may fall MoM to 57.2 in July. Manufacturing index in the euro zone has been rising since Aug. 2016. As said by ECB president, euro zone economy is recovering further, trade and exports improved, and personal consumption also rose. So, the euro zone’s manufacturing PMI may exceed expectations in July. 

Markit’s US manufacturing PMI has been falling for 5 months in a row, but may rally slightly in July. US economy is still facing uncertainty, due to legislation failure and issue about Trump over Russia and poor retail sales.  

Annualized US existing home sales are expected at 5.54 million units in June, down from May’s 5.64 million units. Despite strong labor market, slowing wage growth affected property market. 

The OPEC and non-OPEC countries will hold a meeting today, which will review good and bad impact from output cut limit deal reached earlier this year, which involves 1.8 million barrel cut in daily output. It is saild output cut immunity for two African oil producing countries may be cancelled. Kuwait oil minister said it is possible that oil producing countries will cut output further.  

See SMM price forecast, please click: SMM Price Outlook for Base Metals on SHFE (Jul. 24, 2017)


 

 


 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
KGHM and South32 launch US$725m Sierra Gorda expansion, lifting copper capacity 26%
13 hours ago
KGHM and South32 launch US$725m Sierra Gorda expansion, lifting copper capacity 26%
Read More
KGHM and South32 launch US$725m Sierra Gorda expansion, lifting copper capacity 26%
KGHM and South32 launch US$725m Sierra Gorda expansion, lifting copper capacity 26%
KGHM and South32 have broken ground on a fourth grinding line at the Sierra Gorda copper-molybdenum mine in Chile's Atacama region. The US$725 million expansion runs for three years from January 2027, with completion by late 2029 and full output in H2 2030. Ore processing capacity rises 26%, from 131,000 tonnes per day to 165,000 tpd. Annual copper output is projected to climb from 165,000 tonnes in 2025 to 195,000 tonnes, with 6,000 tonnes of molybdenum, 58,000 ounces of gold and 1.7 million ounces of silver as by-products. The project creates over 900 direct jobs and is funded from operating cash flow and debt. Unit operating costs are expected to fall about 10%.
13 hours ago
Emerita Extends Final Review of Iberian Belt West PFS, Release Expected in Coming Weeks
14 hours ago
Emerita Extends Final Review of Iberian Belt West PFS, Release Expected in Coming Weeks
Read More
Emerita Extends Final Review of Iberian Belt West PFS, Release Expected in Coming Weeks
Emerita Extends Final Review of Iberian Belt West PFS, Release Expected in Coming Weeks
Emerita Resources has provided an update on the Preliminary Feasibility Study (PFS) for its Iberian Belt West polymetallic project in Spain, saying the study is well advanced but remains under final technical review.​ The company said the review process has been expanded to include additional technical and quality-assurance oversight before publication. As a result, Emerita now expects the PFS to be released in the coming weeks rather than within the previously indicated timeframe.​ Iberian Belt West hosts copper, zinc, lead, gold and silver mineralization and is one of Emerita’s principal development-stage assets in Spain. The PFS is expected to provide updated detail on the proposed mine plan, processing configuration, capital requirements, operating costs and project economics.​ Emerita said the additional review work is intended to ensure consistency and completeness across the technical disciplines contributing to the study before it is finalized.​ The company did not announce a revised specific publication date, and no new production, capital or economic figures were disclosed in the latest update.​ The extended review delays the next major technical milestone for Iberian Belt West, but the company continues to indicate that the PFS is nearing completion. For the copper market, the significance of the study will depend on the production profile and project economics ultimately disclosed, particularly the contribution of copper relative to the project’s other payable metals. Attention will therefore remain on the timing of the PFS release and whether the final study materially changes the project’s development outlook.
14 hours ago
Cascadia Intersects 75.55 m at 1.19% Cu at Carmacks Copper-Gold Project
15 hours ago
Cascadia Intersects 75.55 m at 1.19% Cu at Carmacks Copper-Gold Project
Read More
Cascadia Intersects 75.55 m at 1.19% Cu at Carmacks Copper-Gold Project
Cascadia Intersects 75.55 m at 1.19% Cu at Carmacks Copper-Gold Project
Cascadia Minerals has reported additional drill results from its 2026 exploration programme at the Carmacks copper-gold project in Yukon, Canada, with new step-out drilling extending mineralization at Zone 2000S beyond the boundaries of the existing Mineral Resource.​ Drill hole CD-26-058 returned 75.55 metres grading 1.19% copper, 0.97 g/t gold, 10.4 g/t silver and 335 ppm molybdenum, equivalent to 2.18% copper-equivalent. The interval included 48.66 metres grading 1.61% copper, 1.39 g/t gold, 15.1 g/t silver and 475 ppm molybdenum, equivalent to 3.03% CuEq.​ Within the same hole, a higher-grade interval of 14.50 metres returned 2.30% copper, 2.68 g/t gold, 29.5 g/t silver and 1,015 ppm molybdenum, equivalent to 5.08% CuEq.​ A second hole, CD-26-059, intersected 93.99 metres grading 0.96% copper, 0.70 g/t gold, 4.6 g/t silver and 919 ppm molybdenum, equivalent to 1.94% CuEq. This included 63.97 metres at 1.26% copper, 0.96 g/t gold, 6.3 g/t silver and 1,049 ppm molybdenum, equivalent to 2.52% CuEq.​ Cascadia said the latest results continue to expand mineralization at Zone 2000S beyond the limits of the current Mineral Resource and highlight the higher-grade nature of the extension. The reported drill intervals represent drilled thicknesses, with true widths estimated at approximately 60–70%.​ The latest step-out results indicate that copper-gold mineralization at Zone 2000S extends beyond the boundaries of the current Carmacks Mineral Resource. The broad intervals and higher-grade internal zones could support future resource expansion if additional drilling confirms continuity. However, the new intersections have not yet been incorporated into an updated Mineral Resource Estimate, meaning their ultimate impact on project scale and mine planning remains to be determined.
15 hours ago