SMM Sees Plenty of Reasons Not to Keep Aluminum in Your Portfolio

Published: Jun 19, 2017 12:13
Aluminum might not be the preferred choice, at least for now, since its prices are still in downward track amid a series of negative factors, SMM noted.

SHANGHAI, Jun. 19 (SMM) – Aluminum might not be the preferred choice, at least for now, since its prices are still in downward track amid a series of negative factors, SMM noted.

Anticipation is waning for favorable policies in Chinese aluminum market. Growing supply and softening consumption will send SHFE 1708 aluminum down further to 13,300-13,650 yuan/tonne this week. LME aluminum will drop to $ 1,850-1,890/tonne, SMM predicts.

Chalco Cuts Aluminum Prices in Major Markets on June 19

Aluminum ingot stocks in China’s five major markets (Shanghai, Wuxi, Nanhai, Hangzhou and Gongyi) were near record high at 1.21 million tonnes as of June 16 and will keep growing. 

July-August is the traditional off-season for aluminum consumption. Orders are already down at some aluminum processors, SMM survey found. 

Rusal to Expand Aluminum Production on Growing Global Demand

 For news cooperation, please contact us by email: sallyzhang@smm.cn or service.en@smm.cn.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Flash] Aluminum Ingot Inventory in Mainstream Consumption Areas on March 23
28 mins ago
[SMM Flash] Aluminum Ingot Inventory in Mainstream Consumption Areas on March 23
Read More
[SMM Flash] Aluminum Ingot Inventory in Mainstream Consumption Areas on March 23
[SMM Flash] Aluminum Ingot Inventory in Mainstream Consumption Areas on March 23
SMM, March 23: Inventory side, aluminum ingot inventory in mainstream consumption areas increased by 8,000 mt MoM today, with destocking mainly coming from Wuxi and Guangdong.
28 mins ago
[SMM Flash] Central China A00 Market on March 23
29 mins ago
[SMM Flash] Central China A00 Market on March 23
Read More
[SMM Flash] Central China A00 Market on March 23
[SMM Flash] Central China A00 Market on March 23
Today, aluminum prices extended their decline, and premiums in central China remained in positive territory. Traders' willingness to purchase and stockpile fell from the previous two days. Although downstream processing enterprises showed some willingness to buy the dip, they still did not make large-scale concentrated purchases, and overall market purchase sentiment weakened. In the end, actual quotes and transaction prices in the central China market fell all the way, from a 50-yuan premium over the central China price before the opening to around parity with the central China price, while suppliers showed no clear willingness to hold prices firm. Today, the central China market shipments sentiment index was 2.63, up 0.01 MoM; the buying sentiment index was 2.48, down 0.03 MoM.
29 mins ago
[SMM Flash] East China A00 Market on March 23
29 mins ago
[SMM Flash] East China A00 Market on March 23
Read More
[SMM Flash] East China A00 Market on March 23
[SMM Flash] East China A00 Market on March 23
SMM, March 23: In early trading, SHFE aluminum 2604 fluctuated upward, while the price center fell sharply from the previous trading day. Affected by the decline in aluminum prices, overall purchase sentiment rose today, prompting sellers to hold prices firm. Today, mainstream transaction prices in the market were concentrated at SHFE aluminum 04 contract +10 yuan/mt to +20 yuan/mt. Today, the east China market shipments sentiment index was 2.72, down 0.58 MoM; the buying sentiment index was 3.3, up 0.07 MoM.
29 mins ago
SMM Sees Plenty of Reasons Not to Keep Aluminum in Your Portfolio - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)