Key Macroeconomic Indicators for Base Metal Prices (2016-5-5)

Published: May 5, 2016 09:18
Base metals should continue see weak trading on Thursday with firmer dollar and weaker crude oil prices.

SHANGHAI, May 5 (SMM) – Base metals should continue see weak trading on Thursday with firmer dollar and weaker crude oil prices.

US April ADP employment turns out to be negative. Attention is turning to US Last week’s initial jobless claims and US April Challenger job-cut monthly report, which will directly affect market expectation for non-farm payrolls due for Friday. It is uncertain that the initial jobless claims stays below 300,000 for 61 weeks in a row. The number of rigs drilling for oil in the US dropped for 6 straight weeks and this means growth in unemployment in this industry, which may negatively affect Challenger job-cut report.

Recently, several US Fed officials delivered hawkish speeches. Should James Bullard, President of Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, also hold hawkish attitudes, US dollar index will get support. 

Base Metals to See No Rising Momentum, SMM Says 


Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
SMM Nickel Flash: High-Grade NPI Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Long-Short Tug-of-War
7 mins ago
SMM Nickel Flash: High-Grade NPI Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Long-Short Tug-of-War
Read More
SMM Nickel Flash: High-Grade NPI Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Long-Short Tug-of-War
SMM Nickel Flash: High-Grade NPI Prices Drop, Market Sees Intensified Long-Short Tug-of-War
[SMM Nickel Flash] On September 18, the average price of SMM 10-12% high-grade NPI fell by 33.1 yuan/nickel unit WoW to 1,062.4 yuan/nickel unit (ex-factory, tax included), while the average price of the Indonesia NPI FOB index dropped by $4.06/nickel unit WoW to $137.08/nickel unit. This week, the high-grade NPI market continued to drift lower overall, with the tug-of-war between longs and shorts intensifying.
7 mins ago
SMM High-Grade NPI Sentiment Index Rises Slightly, Market Shows Clear Divergence
7 mins ago
SMM High-Grade NPI Sentiment Index Rises Slightly, Market Shows Clear Divergence
Read More
SMM High-Grade NPI Sentiment Index Rises Slightly, Market Shows Clear Divergence
SMM High-Grade NPI Sentiment Index Rises Slightly, Market Shows Clear Divergence
[SMM Nickel Flash] On September 18, SMM's high-grade NPI market sentiment index stood at 1.79, up 0.02 MoM. The upstream sentiment index for high-grade NPI was 1.86, flat MoM, while the downstream sentiment index for high-grade NPI was 1.72, up 0.03 MoM. The NPI market is currently marked by clear divergence, with a persistent tug-of-war between longs and shorts.
7 mins ago
[SMM Analysis] Inventory Accumulation and Weak Demand Push High-Grade NPI Lower in Search of a Bottom
24 mins ago
[SMM Analysis] Inventory Accumulation and Weak Demand Push High-Grade NPI Lower in Search of a Bottom
Read More
[SMM Analysis] Inventory Accumulation and Weak Demand Push High-Grade NPI Lower in Search of a Bottom
[SMM Analysis] Inventory Accumulation and Weak Demand Push High-Grade NPI Lower in Search of a Bottom
The average price of SMM 10-12% high-grade NPI fell WoW by 33.1 yuan/nickel unit to 1,062.4 yuan/nickel unit (ex-factory, tax included), and the average Indonesia NPI FOB index price fell WoW by $4.06/nickel unit to $137.08/nickel unit. This week, the high-grade NPI market continued to drift lower overall, with the tug-of-war between longs and shorts intensifying.
24 mins ago