Gold Down as Improved Risk Appetite, Upbeat U.S. Data Deliver 1-2 Punch

Published: Aug 26, 2015 14:56
Gold prices ended the U.S. day session solidly lower and near their daily lows Tuesday.

By  Paul Ploumis 26 Aug 2015  Last updated at  00:09:42 GMT

(Kitco News) - Gold prices ended the U.S. day session solidly lower and near their daily lows Tuesday. Early selling pressure intensified following U.S. economic data that was better than expected. Strong gains in the U.S. stock market also pulled investor interest away from safe-haven gold. However, the higher volatility in much of the market place, which is likely to continue at least the rest of this week, is an underlying bullish element for gold and will likely limit its downside potential in the near term. December Comex gold was last down $16.90 at $1,136.70 an ounce. September Comex silver was last down $0.157 at $14.60 an ounce.

U.S. new home sales were up over 5% in July and the consumer confidence index rose in August to the highest level in months. The U.S. dollar index added on to its early gains following the upbeat data and is traded sharply higher on the day, which was also a negative for the precious metals markets.

The European and U.S. stock index rallies occurred even before China announced new monetary policy stimulus measures Tuesday, including cutting its benchmark interest rate by 0.25% and lowering China banks’ reserve requirement ratios by 0.5%. However, China’s Shanghai stock index was down another 7% Tuesday, while Japan’s Nikkei stock index lost another 4% on the day. Indian and Australian stock markets were also lower. The Asian markets were closed when China’s central bank announced its monetary policy easing moves. China’s stock market is down more than 20% in less than a week.

Emerging currency markets are still in turmoil early this week, which is by itself a very worrisome development for the world market place.

Adding to the uncertainty in the market place at present is whether or not the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its September FOMC meeting. After this week’s extremely volatile price action in many markets, there are growing doubts the Fed will be able to make a rate hike in September, or even this year. However, Tuesday’s upbeat U.S. economic data falls into the U.S. monetary policy hawks’ camp, who want a U.S. rate hike sooner rather than later.

Later this week U.S. Federal Reserve officials meet in Jackson Hole, Wyoming for their annual meeting to discuss monetary policy and other economic issues. Past meetings have produced news that moved the markets.

The London P.M. gold fix is $1,137.50 versus the previous A.M. fix of $1,154.25.

Courtesy: Kitco News


Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
8 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
8 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
8 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
8 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
8 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
8 hours ago