Scrap Copper Imports Rally in May, But Market Supply Remains Tight -Shanghai Metals Market

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Scrap Copper Imports Rally in May, But Market Supply Remains Tight

Data Analysis 05:15:59PM Jun 28, 2012 Source:SMM

SHANGHAI, Jun. 28 (SMM) – According to China Customs, China's imports of scrap copper in May were 420,000 mt, up significantly by 13.2% MoM and 5.3% YoY. Scrap copper imports have experienced big changes in recent months, but SMM does not believe imports accurately reflect actual domestic scrap copper supply and demand. The price gap between scrap and refined copper has been falling since early 2012 and is near RMB 600-800/mt, down from RMB 1,500/mt in early 2012 and an indication that scrap copper supply is extremely tight. During May, domestic traders chose to constantly cut purchase volumes of high-quality scrap copper due to the unfavorable SHFE/LME copper price ratio, but recently began to purchase large quantities of low-quality scrap wires and motors just to maintain operations. These low-quality scrap copper imports have relatively low unit prices and more upward room for premiums, but have skewed scrap copper import data. Despite the increase in scrap copper imports during May, spot scrap copper supply did not improve, with the supply of high-quality scrap copper remaining tight. Goods recently ordered by domestic scrap copper importers will likely arrive at ports around July, so domestic scrap copper supply will not increase significantly in the near term.   


 

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#1 Refined Cu
May.27
47100.0
90.0
(0.19%)
Aluminum Ingot
May.27
14350.0
120.0
(0.84%)
#1 Lead
May.27
16300.0
0.0
(0.00%)
0# Zinc
May.27
20700.0
100.0
(0.49%)
#1 Tin Ingot
May.27
144250.0
750.0
(0.52%)

Scrap Copper Imports Rally in May, But Market Supply Remains Tight

Data Analysis 05:15:59PM Jun 28, 2012 Source:SMM

SHANGHAI, Jun. 28 (SMM) – According to China Customs, China's imports of scrap copper in May were 420,000 mt, up significantly by 13.2% MoM and 5.3% YoY. Scrap copper imports have experienced big changes in recent months, but SMM does not believe imports accurately reflect actual domestic scrap copper supply and demand. The price gap between scrap and refined copper has been falling since early 2012 and is near RMB 600-800/mt, down from RMB 1,500/mt in early 2012 and an indication that scrap copper supply is extremely tight. During May, domestic traders chose to constantly cut purchase volumes of high-quality scrap copper due to the unfavorable SHFE/LME copper price ratio, but recently began to purchase large quantities of low-quality scrap wires and motors just to maintain operations. These low-quality scrap copper imports have relatively low unit prices and more upward room for premiums, but have skewed scrap copper import data. Despite the increase in scrap copper imports during May, spot scrap copper supply did not improve, with the supply of high-quality scrap copper remaining tight. Goods recently ordered by domestic scrap copper importers will likely arrive at ports around July, so domestic scrap copper supply will not increase significantly in the near term.