SHFE/LME Price Ratio Declines, Zinc Ingot Import Window Remains Shut as Market Sentiment Shifts

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Mar 14, 2025 16:14
[SHFE/LME Price Ratio Continues to Pull Back, Import Window Remains Closed]: This week, the SHFE/LME price ratio continued to pull back, fluctuating around 8.1, and the zinc ingot import window remained closed. From the overseas market perspective, Trump escalated tariff threats against Canada, the US dollar index declined, market risk-aversion sentiment strengthened, and the US February NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell short of expectations, followed by US February CPI data also coming in below expectations.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 3์ผ)
14์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 3์ผ)
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 3์ผ)
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 3์ผ)
๋‹ค์Œ ํ‘œ๋Š” 2026๋…„ 9์›” 3์ผ SHFE์™€ DCE์˜ ์ฒ ๊ธˆ์† ๋ฐ ๋น„์ฒ ๊ธˆ์† ๋™ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
14์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„: ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—… ์„ ๊ด‘๊ณต์žฅ 9์›” 3์ผ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐœ; ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—… ๊ด‘๊ตฌ๋Š” ๋ชจ๋“  ์ •๋น„ ์ž‘์—…์„ ์ „๋ ฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ถ”์ง„ ์ค‘.
16์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„: ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—… ์„ ๊ด‘๊ณต์žฅ 9์›” 3์ผ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐœ; ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—… ๊ด‘๊ตฌ๋Š” ๋ชจ๋“  ์ •๋น„ ์ž‘์—…์„ ์ „๋ ฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ถ”์ง„ ์ค‘.
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„: ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—… ์„ ๊ด‘๊ณต์žฅ 9์›” 3์ผ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐœ; ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—… ๊ด‘๊ตฌ๋Š” ๋ชจ๋“  ์ •๋น„ ์ž‘์—…์„ ์ „๋ ฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ถ”์ง„ ์ค‘.
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„: ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—… ์„ ๊ด‘๊ณต์žฅ 9์›” 3์ผ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐœ; ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—… ๊ด‘๊ตฌ๋Š” ๋ชจ๋“  ์ •๋น„ ์ž‘์—…์„ ์ „๋ ฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ถ”์ง„ ์ค‘.
16์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ํ†ˆ์ง„ ์•„์—ฐ: ์•„์—ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑ, ํ•˜๋ฅ˜๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์‹ ์ค‘ [SMM ์ •์˜ค ๋…ผํ‰]
18์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ํ†ˆ์ง„ ์•„์—ฐ: ์•„์—ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑ, ํ•˜๋ฅ˜๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์‹ ์ค‘ [SMM ์ •์˜ค ๋…ผํ‰]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ํ†ˆ์ง„ ์•„์—ฐ: ์•„์—ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑ, ํ•˜๋ฅ˜๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์‹ ์ค‘ [SMM ์ •์˜ค ๋…ผํ‰]
ํ†ˆ์ง„ ์•„์—ฐ: ์•„์—ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑ, ํ•˜๋ฅ˜๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์‹ ์ค‘ [SMM ์ •์˜ค ๋…ผํ‰]
[ํ†ˆ์ง„ ์•„์—ฐ: ์•„์—ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑ, ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ์‹ ์ค‘ํ•œ ํƒœ๋„ ์œ ์ง€] ํ†ˆ์ง„ ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ ์ฃผ๋ฅ˜ #0 ์•„์—ฐ๊ดด ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๊ฐ€๋Š” 26,360~26,930์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค, ์ฏ”์ง„ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๊ฐ€๋Š” 26,630~27,080์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค, #1 ์•„์—ฐ๊ดด ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๊ฐ€๋Š” ์•ฝ 26,440~26,820์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. ์ฏ”์ง„์€ 2610 ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๋Œ€๋น„ 0~200์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„์— ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€๋˜์—ˆ๊ณ , ํ›„์‹ ์€ 28,185์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์— ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. #0 ์•„์—ฐ๊ดด๋Š” 2610 ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๋Œ€๋น„ 0~200์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ํ• ์ธ์— ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ํ†ˆ์ง„ ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์‹œ์žฅ ๋Œ€๋น„ 50์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ํ• ์ธ์— ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค.
18์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SHFE/LME Price Ratio Continues to Pull Back, Import Window Remains Cl - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)