Zinc Oxide Industry Outlook: Post-Chinese New Year Order Status and End-Use Consumption Prospects

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Feb 21, 2025 10:21
[Overview of Zinc Oxide Orders Across Sectors: Will End-Use Consumption Revive?] In 2025, most zinc oxide companies scheduled their Chinese New Year break around January 26, with many resuming operations between the eighth day of the lunar new year and the Lantern Festival. The average holiday duration was approximately 20 days. According to the data, post-holiday operating rates have gradually increased. So, what is the current order situation across downstream sectors...

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋ ˆ๋“œ๋… ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ, ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ์•„์—ฐ-๋‚ฉ ์ž์› ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ ๋Œ€์ƒ์— ํฌํ•จ
31๋ถ„ ์ „
๋ ˆ๋“œ๋… ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ, ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ์•„์—ฐ-๋‚ฉ ์ž์› ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ ๋Œ€์ƒ์— ํฌํ•จ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ ˆ๋“œ๋… ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ, ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ์•„์—ฐ-๋‚ฉ ์ž์› ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ ๋Œ€์ƒ์— ํฌํ•จ
๋ ˆ๋“œ๋… ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ, ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ์•„์—ฐ-๋‚ฉ ์ž์› ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ ๋Œ€์ƒ์— ํฌํ•จ
๋ฏธ๊ตญ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€์œ„์›ํšŒ๋Š” ์•Œ๋ž˜์Šค์นด ๋ถ์„œ๋ถ€์— ์œ„์น˜ํ•œ ๋ ˆ๋“œ๋… ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช… ์—ฐ์žฅ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์— FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ์„ ์Šน์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๋Š” Aktigiruq ๋ฐ Anarraaq ๊ด‘์ฒด์—์„œ ์ง€ํ•˜ ์žฅ๊ณต ์ฑ„๊ตด์„ ์ œ์•ˆํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์ฑ„๊ตด๋œ ๊ด‘์„์€ ๋ ˆ๋“œ๋…์˜ ๊ธฐ์กด ์„ ๊ด‘ ์‹œ์„ค์—์„œ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ๋˜์–ด ๋ ˆ๋“œ๋…์˜ ์šด์˜ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์„ ์•ฝ 14๋…„ ์—ฐ์žฅํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•œ๋‹ค. ๋ฏธ ์œก๊ตฐ ๊ณต๋ณ‘๋Œ€๊ฐ€ ์—ฐ๋ฐฉ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ์‹ฌ์‚ฌ๋ฅผ ์ฃผ๋„ํ•  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค. Teck์€ Aktigiruq์—์„œ ์•„์—ฐ ํ’ˆ์œ„ 15.8%์˜ ํ™•์ธ ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ 4,220๋งŒ ํ†ค๊ณผ ์•„์—ฐ ํ’ˆ์œ„ 11.8%์˜ ์ถ”์ • ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ 1,880๋งŒ ํ†ค์„ ๋ณด๊ณ ํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, Anarraaq์—์„œ๋Š” ์•„์—ฐ ํ’ˆ์œ„ 14.0%์˜ ์ถ”์ • ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ 1,700๋งŒ ํ†ค์„ ๋ณด๊ณ ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‘ ๊ด‘์ฒด ๋ชจ๋‘ ๋‚ฉ, ์€, ๊ฒŒ๋ฅด๋งˆ๋Š„๋„ ํ•จ์œ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. FAST-41 ์ ์šฉ์€ ์กฐ์œจ๋˜๊ณ  ํˆฌ๋ช…ํ•œ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ์ ˆ์ฐจ๋ฅผ ์ง€์›ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ตœ์ข… ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ์Šน์ธ์ด๋‚˜ ์ƒ์—…์  ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ์˜๋ฏธํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€ ์•„๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
31๋ถ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
9์›” 2์ผ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE)๋Š” ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์œ„์ฐฝ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ๊ด€๋ฆฌ ์œ ํ•œ๊ณต์‚ฌ๊ฐ€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„, ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ง€์ • ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์กฐ์ •ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์Šน์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ƒํ•˜์ด์‹œ ๊ถํ—ˆ์‹ ๋ฃจ 3501ํ˜ธ ์ €์žฅ์†Œ์—์„œ ํ•ด๋‹น ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ €์žฅ ์ž๊ฒฉ์„ ์ทจ์†Œํ•˜๊ณ , ์Šน์ธ๋œ ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ 2๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€๋œ๋‹ค. ์ƒํ•˜์ด์‹œ ๋ฏผํ•ญ๊ตฌ ์ง€์ดจ๋ฃจ 2222ํ˜ธ ์ €์žฅ์†Œ์—์„œ๋Š” ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ €์žฅ ์ž๊ฒฉ์ด ์ทจ์†Œ๋˜๋ฉฐ, ์Šน์ธ ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ 4๋งŒ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์กฐ์ •๋œ๋‹ค.
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„์˜ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…, ์‚ฌ๋ง ์‚ฌ๊ณ  ๋ฐ ์•ˆ์ „ ์ ๊ฒ€ ํ›„ ์šด์˜ ์žฌ๊ฐœ
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„์˜ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…, ์‚ฌ๋ง ์‚ฌ๊ณ  ๋ฐ ์•ˆ์ „ ์ ๊ฒ€ ํ›„ ์šด์˜ ์žฌ๊ฐœ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„์˜ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…, ์‚ฌ๋ง ์‚ฌ๊ณ  ๋ฐ ์•ˆ์ „ ์ ๊ฒ€ ํ›„ ์šด์˜ ์žฌ๊ฐœ
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„์˜ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…, ์‚ฌ๋ง ์‚ฌ๊ณ  ๋ฐ ์•ˆ์ „ ์ ๊ฒ€ ํ›„ ์šด์˜ ์žฌ๊ฐœ
9์›” 2์ผ, ์‹ฑ์˜ˆ ์€ยท์ฃผ์„์€ 2026๋…„ 7์›” 26์ผ 15์‹œ 30๋ถ„๊ฒฝ ๋‚ด๋ชฝ๊ณจ ์„œ์šฐ์ฃผ๋ฌด์นœ๊ธฐ ์†Œ์žฌ ์ „์•ก ์ถœ์ž ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…์—์„œ ์‚ฌ๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ƒํ•ด 1๋ช…์ด ์‚ฌ๋งํ•˜๊ณ  ๋ถ€์ƒ์ž๋Š” ์—†์—ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค. ์‚ฌ๊ณ  ์ดํ›„ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…์€ ์ „๋ฉด์ ์ธ ์•ˆ์ „ ์ ๊ฒ€์„ ์‹ค์‹œํ•˜๊ณ  ์‹œ์ • ์กฐ์น˜๋ฅผ ์‹œํ–‰ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ตœ๊ทผ ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์„œ์šฐ์ฃผ๋ฌด์นœ๊ธฐ ์‘๊ธ‰๊ด€๋ฆฌ๊ตญ์œผ๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์„ ๊ด‘์žฅ ํ…Œ์ผ๋ง(๊ด‘๋ฏธ) ์‹œ์Šคํ…œ์˜ ์šด์˜ ์žฌ๊ฐœ ์Šน์ธ์„ ๋ฐ›์•˜๋‹ค. ์„ ๊ด‘์žฅ์€ 2026๋…„ 9์›” 3์ผ ์šด์˜์„ ์žฌ๊ฐœํ•  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค. ํ•œํŽธ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…์€ ๊ด‘๊ตฌ ๋‚ด ์‹œ์ • ์ž‘์—…์„ ๊ณ„์† ์ง„ํ–‰ ์ค‘์ด๋ฉฐ, ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ ํ•œ ์กฐ์†ํžˆ ์ฑ„๊ตด ์ž‘์—… ์žฌ๊ฐœ๋ฅผ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[Overview of Zinc Oxide Orders Across Sectors: Will End-Use Consumptio - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)