SMM: LPR Unchanged for August, But Further Reduction Potential Remains Amid Economic Considerations

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Aug 22, 2024 07:40
[SMM Steel Market Morning News: New LPR Remains Unchanged, Room for Reduction Still Exists] The People's Bank of China authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce that the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) for August 20, 2024 is: 1-year LPR at 3.35% and over-5-year LPR at 3.85%, both of which are the same as the previous period. Experts believe that considering the overall economic performance and price levels, there is still room and possibility for further LPR reductions. Meanwhile, macroeconomic conditions, price levels, and the pace of real estate recovery continue to be the primary influencing factors...

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
[SMM Analysis] EAF Operating Rate Rises 1.43% This Period
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[SMM Analysis] EAF Operating Rate Rises 1.43% This Period
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM Analysis] EAF Operating Rate Rises 1.43% This Period
[SMM Analysis] EAF Operating Rate Rises 1.43% This Period
As of September 1, the operating rate of 50 EAF steel mills mainly producing construction steel across China stood at 33.90%, up 1.43% WoW; capacity utilization rate was 33.79%, up 0.82% WoW; daily average production of construction steel was 75,200 mt, up 1,800 mt WoW.
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[SMM ์ฒ ๊ฐ•] ์ธ๋„ ๋‚ด์ˆ˜ ์ฒ ๊ฐ• ์‹œ์žฅ, ์ˆ˜์š” ๊ฐœ์„ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ•์„ธ
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[SMM ์ฒ ๊ฐ•] ์ธ๋„ ๋‚ด์ˆ˜ ์ฒ ๊ฐ• ์‹œ์žฅ, ์ˆ˜์š” ๊ฐœ์„ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ•์„ธ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM ์ฒ ๊ฐ•] ์ธ๋„ ๋‚ด์ˆ˜ ์ฒ ๊ฐ• ์‹œ์žฅ, ์ˆ˜์š” ๊ฐœ์„ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ•์„ธ
[SMM ์ฒ ๊ฐ•] ์ธ๋„ ๋‚ด์ˆ˜ ์ฒ ๊ฐ• ์‹œ์žฅ, ์ˆ˜์š” ๊ฐœ์„ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ•์„ธ
[์ธ๋„ ๋‚ด์ˆ˜] ์ธ๋„ ๋‚ด์ˆ˜ ์ฒ ๊ฐ• ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์™„์ œํ’ˆ ๋ฐ ๋ฐ˜์ œํ’ˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ์ƒ์Šนํ•˜๋ฉฐ ๊ฐ•์„ธ ํ๋ฆ„์„ ๋ณด์˜€๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฒˆ ์ƒ์Šน์€ ๋ฐ˜์ œํ’ˆ ๋ฐ ์™„์ œํ’ˆ ์ฒ ๊ฐ• ์ˆ˜์š” ์ฆ๊ฐ€์— ์ฃผ๋กœ ํž˜์ž…์€ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค. ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๋ถ€์กฑ๊ณผ ๊ธฐ์ƒ ์—ฌ๊ฑด ๊ฐœ์„ ์ด ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ํ™œ๋™ ์ฆ๊ฐ€์˜ ์š”์ธ์œผ๋กœ ์ž‘์šฉํ–ˆ๋‹ค. PDRI ํ•ด๋ฉด์ฒ  ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 1.05๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ(100๋ฃจํ”ผ) ์ƒ์Šนํ•œ ํ†ค๋‹น 29,800๋ฃจํ”ผ(๋ฒจ๋ผ๋ฆฌ ๊ณต์žฅ ์ธ๋„๊ฐ€)๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ผ์ดํ‘ธ๋ฅด ์ฒ ๊ทผ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 4.23๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ(400๋ฃจํ”ผ) ์ƒ์Šนํ•œ ํ†ค๋‹น 45,000๋ฃจํ”ผ(๋ผ์ดํ‘ธ๋ฅด ๊ณต์žฅ ์ธ๋„๊ฐ€)๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ญ„๋ฐ”์ด ์ฒ ๊ทผ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 1.05๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ(100๋ฃจํ”ผ) ์ƒ์Šนํ•œ ํ†ค๋‹น 50,000๋ฃจํ”ผ(๋ญ„๋ฐ”์ด ๊ณต์žฅ ์ธ๋„๊ฐ€)๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‘๋ฅด๊ฐ€ํ‘ธ๋ฅด ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 1.05๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ(100๋ฃจํ”ผ) ์ƒ์Šนํ•œ ํ†ค๋‹น 43,000๋ฃจํ”ผ(๋‘๋ฅด๊ฐ€ํ‘ธ๋ฅด ์ธ๋„๊ฐ€)๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ผ์ดํ‘ธ๋ฅด ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 4.23๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ(400๋ฃจํ”ผ) ์ƒ์Šนํ•œ ํ†ค๋‹น 42,400๋ฃจํ”ผ(๋ผ์ดํ‘ธ๋ฅด ๊ณต์žฅ ์ธ๋„๊ฐ€)๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ž‰๊ณณ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 2.11๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ(200๋ฃจํ”ผ) ์ƒ์Šนํ•œ ํ†ค๋‹น 46,500๋ฃจํ”ผ(๋งŒ๋”” ๊ณต์žฅ ์ธ๋„๊ฐ€)๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋งŒ๋”” ๊ณ ๋นˆ๋“œ๊ฐ€๋ฅด์—์„œ๋Š” HMS 1&2(80:20)๊ฐ€ ํ†ค๋‹น 3.17๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ(300๋ฃจํ”ผ) ์ƒ์Šนํ•œ ํ†ค๋‹น 37,900๋ฃจํ”ผ(๋งŒ๋”” ์ธ๋„๊ฐ€)๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
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[SMM ์ฒ ๊ฐ•] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ์Šฌ๋ž˜๋ธŒ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ณดํ•ฉ์„ธ, ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ๋‹ค์Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋Œ€๊ธฐ ์ค‘
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[SMM ์ฒ ๊ฐ•] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ์Šฌ๋ž˜๋ธŒ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ณดํ•ฉ์„ธ, ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ๋‹ค์Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋Œ€๊ธฐ ์ค‘
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM ์ฒ ๊ฐ•] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ์Šฌ๋ž˜๋ธŒ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ณดํ•ฉ์„ธ, ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ๋‹ค์Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋Œ€๊ธฐ ์ค‘
[SMM ์ฒ ๊ฐ•] ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ์Šฌ๋ž˜๋ธŒ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ณดํ•ฉ์„ธ, ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ๋‹ค์Œ ์‹ ํ˜ธ ๋Œ€๊ธฐ ์ค‘
[์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„] ์Šฌ๋ž˜๋ธŒ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ์ผ์ฃผ์ผ๊ฐ„์˜ ์‹œ์žฅ ์›€์ง์ž„์„ ๊ฑฐ์ณ ํ˜„์žฌ 480 USD/ํ†ค FOB์—์„œ ์•ˆ์ •์„ธ๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” ์‹ค์ œ๋กœ ์ˆ˜์š”๊ฐ€ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Œ์—๋„ ๋ถˆ๊ตฌํ•˜๊ณ  ์ผ๋ถ€ ๊ตฌ๋งค์ž๋“ค์ด ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๊ด€๋ง์„ธ๋ฅผ ์ทจํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์ด๋‹ค. ํ•œํŽธ์œผ๋กœ๋Š” ๋ฒ ํŠธ๋‚จ ์ฒ ๊ฐ•์‚ฌ๋“ค์˜ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์‹ ํ˜ธ๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋‹ค๋ฆฌ๋Š” ๊ตฌ๋งค์ž๋“ค์ด ์žˆ๊ณ , ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ํ•œํŽธ์œผ๋กœ๋Š” ์ค‘๊ตญ ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์„ ์ฃผ์‹œํ•˜๋Š” ๊ตฌ๋งค์ž๋“ค๋„ ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์–ด๋А ์ชฝ์ด๋“  ๋ช…ํ™•ํ•œ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ฑ์ด ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚˜๋ฉด ์‹œ์žฅ์ด ๋‹ค์‹œ ์›€์ง์ด๊ธฐ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ํŠนํžˆ ์ค‘๊ตญ ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ์ƒ์Šนํ•  ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ๊ตฌ๋งค์ž๋“ค์ด ๋งค์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜์„ ์ทจํ•  ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ๋กœ์„œ๋Š” ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ์†Œํญ ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์—…๋ฐ์ดํŠธ๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋‹ค๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.
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[SMM Steel Market Morning News: New LPR Remains Unchanged, Room for Re - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)