Social lead ingot inventory across five major regions in China

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Apr 8, 2024 16:11
According to SMM survey, social lead ingot inventory across five major regions in China totalled 53,600 mt as of April 3, down 2,600 mt from Thursday March 28 and up 800 mt from Monday April 1.

According to SMM survey, social lead ingot inventory across five major regions in China totalled 53,600 mt as of April 3, down 2,600 mt from Thursday March 28 and up 800 mt from Monday April 1.

According to the survey, lead prices fell from a high level, and the price spread between futures contracts and spot cargoes narrowed. Some sellers turned to actively sell cargoes. The premiums over the SHFE 2405 lead contract were lowered to around zero. Some downstream companies planned to close for holidays, dampening the purchase of lead ingots before Qingming Festival. Meanwhile, large companies were mostly producing normally. After the lead price fell, transactions in some regions improved and social inventories continued to decline. Secondary lead smelters sold with large discounts. Secondary refined lead in major markets was mostly offered with discounts of 150-200 yuan/mt (ex-works) over the average price of SMM #1 lead. Some smelters in remote areas offered discounts of around 300 yuan/mt (ex-works). After the Qingming Festival, social inventory accumulation is likely to occur due to the deliveries for the SHFE front-month contract.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์ง€์—ญ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ยท์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰ ์กฐ์ • ์Šน์ธ
9์›” 2์ผ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE)๋Š” ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์œ„์ฐฝ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ๊ด€๋ฆฌ ์œ ํ•œ๊ณต์‚ฌ๊ฐ€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„, ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ง€์ • ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์กฐ์ •ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์Šน์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ƒํ•˜์ด์‹œ ๊ถํ—ˆ์‹ ๋ฃจ 3501ํ˜ธ ์ €์žฅ์†Œ์—์„œ ํ•ด๋‹น ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๋ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ €์žฅ ์ž๊ฒฉ์„ ์ทจ์†Œํ•˜๊ณ , ์Šน์ธ๋œ ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ฐฝ๊ณ  ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ 2๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€๋œ๋‹ค. ์ƒํ•˜์ด์‹œ ๋ฏผํ•ญ๊ตฌ ์ง€์ดจ๋ฃจ 2222ํ˜ธ ์ €์žฅ์†Œ์—์„œ๋Š” ์•„์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ €์žฅ ์ž๊ฒฉ์ด ์ทจ์†Œ๋˜๋ฉฐ, ์Šน์ธ ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ 4๋งŒ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์กฐ์ •๋œ๋‹ค.
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„์˜ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…, ์‚ฌ๋ง ์‚ฌ๊ณ  ๋ฐ ์•ˆ์ „ ์ ๊ฒ€ ํ›„ ์šด์˜ ์žฌ๊ฐœ
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„์˜ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…, ์‚ฌ๋ง ์‚ฌ๊ณ  ๋ฐ ์•ˆ์ „ ์ ๊ฒ€ ํ›„ ์šด์˜ ์žฌ๊ฐœ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„์˜ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…, ์‚ฌ๋ง ์‚ฌ๊ณ  ๋ฐ ์•ˆ์ „ ์ ๊ฒ€ ํ›„ ์šด์˜ ์žฌ๊ฐœ
์‹ฑ์˜ˆ์€์„์˜ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…, ์‚ฌ๋ง ์‚ฌ๊ณ  ๋ฐ ์•ˆ์ „ ์ ๊ฒ€ ํ›„ ์šด์˜ ์žฌ๊ฐœ
9์›” 2์ผ, ์‹ฑ์˜ˆ ์€ยท์ฃผ์„์€ 2026๋…„ 7์›” 26์ผ 15์‹œ 30๋ถ„๊ฒฝ ๋‚ด๋ชฝ๊ณจ ์„œ์šฐ์ฃผ๋ฌด์นœ๊ธฐ ์†Œ์žฌ ์ „์•ก ์ถœ์ž ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…์—์„œ ์‚ฌ๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ƒํ•ด 1๋ช…์ด ์‚ฌ๋งํ•˜๊ณ  ๋ถ€์ƒ์ž๋Š” ์—†์—ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค. ์‚ฌ๊ณ  ์ดํ›„ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…์€ ์ „๋ฉด์ ์ธ ์•ˆ์ „ ์ ๊ฒ€์„ ์‹ค์‹œํ•˜๊ณ  ์‹œ์ • ์กฐ์น˜๋ฅผ ์‹œํ–‰ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ตœ๊ทผ ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์„œ์šฐ์ฃผ๋ฌด์นœ๊ธฐ ์‘๊ธ‰๊ด€๋ฆฌ๊ตญ์œผ๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์„ ๊ด‘์žฅ ํ…Œ์ผ๋ง(๊ด‘๋ฏธ) ์‹œ์Šคํ…œ์˜ ์šด์˜ ์žฌ๊ฐœ ์Šน์ธ์„ ๋ฐ›์•˜๋‹ค. ์„ ๊ด‘์žฅ์€ 2026๋…„ 9์›” 3์ผ ์šด์˜์„ ์žฌ๊ฐœํ•  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค. ํ•œํŽธ ์ธ๋งŒ๊ด‘์—…์€ ๊ด‘๊ตฌ ๋‚ด ์‹œ์ • ์ž‘์—…์„ ๊ณ„์† ์ง„ํ–‰ ์ค‘์ด๋ฉฐ, ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ ํ•œ ์กฐ์†ํžˆ ์ฑ„๊ตด ์ž‘์—… ์žฌ๊ฐœ๋ฅผ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์„ฑ๋‹ค์ž์› ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ, ๊ด‘์—…๊ถŒ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์™„๋ฃŒโ€ฆ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ตฌ์—ญ ๋ฐ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ์ž ์žฌ๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์„ฑ๋‹ค์ž์› ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ, ๊ด‘์—…๊ถŒ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์™„๋ฃŒโ€ฆ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ตฌ์—ญ ๋ฐ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ์ž ์žฌ๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์„ฑ๋‹ค์ž์› ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ, ๊ด‘์—…๊ถŒ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์™„๋ฃŒโ€ฆ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ตฌ์—ญ ๋ฐ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ์ž ์žฌ๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€
์„ฑ๋‹ค์ž์› ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ, ๊ด‘์—…๊ถŒ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์™„๋ฃŒโ€ฆ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ตฌ์—ญ ๋ฐ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ์ž ์žฌ๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€
9์›” 2์ผ, ์„ฑ๋‹ค์ž์›์€ ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ ์ธ ํŽ‘์ง„๋‘๊ด‘์—…์œ ํ•œ๊ณต์‚ฌ๊ฐ€ ์Šค๋”” ์€-๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ์ฑ„๊ตด๊ถŒ๊ณผ ์Šค๋”” ์ฃผ๋ณ€ ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๋‹ค๊ธˆ์† ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ํƒ์‚ฌ๊ถŒ ํ†ตํ•ฉ์„ ์™„๋ฃŒํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ง„๋‘๊ด‘์—…์€ ์ธ ํŽ‘์‹œ ์ž์—ฐ์ž์›๊ตญ์ด ๋ฐœ๊ธ‰ํ•œ ๋ถ€๋™์‚ฐ ์†Œ์œ ๊ถŒ ์ฆ์„œ(์ฑ„๊ตด๊ถŒ)์™€ ์ฑ„๊ตด ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€์ฆ์„ ๋ฐ›์•˜๋‹ค. ํ†ตํ•ฉ ํ›„ ์ฑ„๊ตด ๋ฉด์ ์€ 4.4750kmยฒ์—์„œ 5.2397kmยฒ๋กœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฒˆ ๋ณ€๊ฒฝ์€ ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ํšŒ์‚ฌ ๊ฒฝ์˜ ์‹ค์ ์— ์ค‘๋Œ€ํ•œ ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์น˜์ง€ ์•Š์„ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ ์ž์›์ด ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•˜๊ณ  ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช…์ด ์—ฐ์žฅ๋˜์–ด ํšŒ์‚ฌ์˜ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ๋ฐœ์ „์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ์ž์› ์ง€์›์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋œ๋‹ค.
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Social lead ingot inventory across five major regions in China - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)