SMM Zinc Morning Comment

Overnight, LME zinc prices opened at $2537/mt and closed down $50/mt or 1.97% at $2489/mt. The trading volume was 10042 lots, and open interest increased 2383 lots to 226,000 lots. Eurozone CPI data has declined month-on-month. U.S. real estate data shows that the economy is quite resilient. This supports the signal from the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates again, and bearish sentiment is fermenting.
Last evening, the most active SHFE 2311 zinc contract prices opened at 21500 yuan/mt and closed at 21375 yuan/mt, down 150 yuan/mt or 0.7%. Trading volume stood at 39,000 lots, and open interest increased by 1666 lots to 94,000 lots. Recently, the SHFE/LME zinc price ratio has dropped slightly from 9.2 to 8.8, and the import profit and loss has dropped from more than 1,000 yuan/mt to about 500 yuan/mt. However, the current import window is still open. At the same time, as imported zinc continues to arrive, there is still significant impact on domestic spot prices, weakening support for SHFE zinc prices.