Backwardation of LME Lead Now At Two-Month High

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Sep 5, 2023 17:15
Recently, SHFE lead has performed strongly, and refreshed its high for many years. LME lead prices hovered at highs and failed to break through their highest level since the beginning of the year.

Recently, SHFE lead has performed strongly, and refreshed its high for many years. LME lead prices hovered at highs and failed to break through their highest level since the beginning of the year.

LME lead inventory are still around 55,000 mt, but the backwardation of LME cash to the three-month lead contract has risen since mid-August, standing at around $40 currently, the highest since early July.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
์„ฑ๋‹ค์ž์› ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ, ๊ด‘์—…๊ถŒ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์™„๋ฃŒโ€ฆ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ตฌ์—ญ ๋ฐ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ์ž ์žฌ๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€
40๋ถ„ ์ „
์„ฑ๋‹ค์ž์› ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ, ๊ด‘์—…๊ถŒ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์™„๋ฃŒโ€ฆ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ตฌ์—ญ ๋ฐ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ์ž ์žฌ๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์„ฑ๋‹ค์ž์› ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ, ๊ด‘์—…๊ถŒ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์™„๋ฃŒโ€ฆ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ตฌ์—ญ ๋ฐ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ์ž ์žฌ๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€
์„ฑ๋‹ค์ž์› ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ, ๊ด‘์—…๊ถŒ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์™„๋ฃŒโ€ฆ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ตฌ์—ญ ๋ฐ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ์ž ์žฌ๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€
9์›” 2์ผ, ์„ฑ๋‹ค์ž์›์€ ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ ์ธ ํŽ‘์ง„๋‘๊ด‘์—…์œ ํ•œ๊ณต์‚ฌ๊ฐ€ ์Šค๋”” ์€-๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ์ฑ„๊ตด๊ถŒ๊ณผ ์Šค๋”” ์ฃผ๋ณ€ ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๋‹ค๊ธˆ์† ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ํƒ์‚ฌ๊ถŒ ํ†ตํ•ฉ์„ ์™„๋ฃŒํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ง„๋‘๊ด‘์—…์€ ์ธ ํŽ‘์‹œ ์ž์—ฐ์ž์›๊ตญ์ด ๋ฐœ๊ธ‰ํ•œ ๋ถ€๋™์‚ฐ ์†Œ์œ ๊ถŒ ์ฆ์„œ(์ฑ„๊ตด๊ถŒ)์™€ ์ฑ„๊ตด ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€์ฆ์„ ๋ฐ›์•˜๋‹ค. ํ†ตํ•ฉ ํ›„ ์ฑ„๊ตด ๋ฉด์ ์€ 4.4750kmยฒ์—์„œ 5.2397kmยฒ๋กœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฒˆ ๋ณ€๊ฒฝ์€ ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ํšŒ์‚ฌ ๊ฒฝ์˜ ์‹ค์ ์— ์ค‘๋Œ€ํ•œ ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์น˜์ง€ ์•Š์„ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ ์ž์›์ด ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•˜๊ณ  ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช…์ด ์—ฐ์žฅ๋˜์–ด ํšŒ์‚ฌ์˜ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ๋ฐœ์ „์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ์ž์› ์ง€์›์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋œ๋‹ค.
40๋ถ„ ์ „
LME ๋‚ฉ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ ์••๋ ฅ ์† 0.86% ํ•˜๋ฝ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ ์•ผ๊ฐ„์žฅ ๋™๋ฐ˜ ํ•˜๋ฝํ•˜๋ฉฐ ๋ณผ๋ฆฐ์ € ์ค‘๊ฐ„์„  ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ๋‚ฉ ๋ชจ๋‹ ๋‰ด์Šค]
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
LME ๋‚ฉ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ ์••๋ ฅ ์† 0.86% ํ•˜๋ฝ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ ์•ผ๊ฐ„์žฅ ๋™๋ฐ˜ ํ•˜๋ฝํ•˜๋ฉฐ ๋ณผ๋ฆฐ์ € ์ค‘๊ฐ„์„  ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ๋‚ฉ ๋ชจ๋‹ ๋‰ด์Šค]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
LME ๋‚ฉ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ ์••๋ ฅ ์† 0.86% ํ•˜๋ฝ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ ์•ผ๊ฐ„์žฅ ๋™๋ฐ˜ ํ•˜๋ฝํ•˜๋ฉฐ ๋ณผ๋ฆฐ์ € ์ค‘๊ฐ„์„  ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ๋‚ฉ ๋ชจ๋‹ ๋‰ด์Šค]
LME ๋‚ฉ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ ์••๋ ฅ ์† 0.86% ํ•˜๋ฝ, ์ƒํ•˜์ด ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ ์•ผ๊ฐ„์žฅ ๋™๋ฐ˜ ํ•˜๋ฝํ•˜๋ฉฐ ๋ณผ๋ฆฐ์ € ์ค‘๊ฐ„์„  ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ๋‚ฉ ๋ชจ๋‹ ๋‰ด์Šค]
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ์™€ LME ๋™๋ฐ˜ ์กฐ์ •, ์žฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ์†Œ์™€ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๊ฐ•์„ธ ์† ์—ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๊ณ ์  ํšก๋ณด [SMM ์—ฐ ์•„์นจ ํšŒ์˜ ์š”์•ฝ]
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ์™€ LME ๋™๋ฐ˜ ์กฐ์ •, ์žฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ์†Œ์™€ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๊ฐ•์„ธ ์† ์—ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๊ณ ์  ํšก๋ณด [SMM ์—ฐ ์•„์นจ ํšŒ์˜ ์š”์•ฝ]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ์™€ LME ๋™๋ฐ˜ ์กฐ์ •, ์žฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ์†Œ์™€ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๊ฐ•์„ธ ์† ์—ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๊ณ ์  ํšก๋ณด [SMM ์—ฐ ์•„์นจ ํšŒ์˜ ์š”์•ฝ]
์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ์™€ LME ๋™๋ฐ˜ ์กฐ์ •, ์žฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ์†Œ์™€ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๊ฐ•์„ธ ์† ์—ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๊ณ ์  ํšก๋ณด [SMM ์—ฐ ์•„์นจ ํšŒ์˜ ์š”์•ฝ]
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
Backwardation of LME Lead Now At Two-Month High - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)