July 21 SMM Yangshan Copper Premium Express: foreign Trade Market demand is very weak Yangshan Copper Premium continues to decline

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Jul 21, 2020 13:41
July 21, 2020: today's warehouse receipt quotation is 90mur102 US dollars / ton, the average price is 2 US dollars / ton lower than the previous day; the bill of lading quotation is 77mur90 US dollars / ton, the average price is 2.50 US dollars / ton lower than the previous day, QP August. LME0-3 has a premium of US $6.75 / ton and an import loss of around 350RMB / ton.

July 21, 2020: today's warehouse receipt quotation is 90mur102 US dollars / ton, the average price is 2 US dollars / ton lower than the previous day; the bill of lading quotation is 77mur90 US dollars / ton, the average price is 2.50 US dollars / ton lower than the previous day, QP August. LME0-3 has a premium of US $6.75 / ton and an import loss of around 350RMB / ton.

Trading in the imported copper market remained light today. Import price ratio to maintain a large loss, a direct blow to market demand. The price-up sentiment of the sellers has eased somewhat, and some traders have lowered their quotations. At present, the mainstream fire price is about US $87 / ton at the end of July, while the wet bill of lading price has slipped to less than US $80 / ton. However, the buying power is weak, most of the performance is to stop and wait and see, a small amount of counter-offer price is very low, there is still a large psychological expected price gap between buyers and sellers, the overall transaction performance is light, and a small number of low-price shipments still drive the premium down.

At present, the transaction price of fire good copper warehouse receipt is around US $102 / ton, mainstream fire method is US $97 / ton, wet method is 90 yuan / ton, good copper bill of lading is US $90 / ton, mainstream fire bill of lading is US $85 / ton, and wet method is US $77 / ton.

(SMM Zhu Ruoyi)

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
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๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋ชจ๋กœ์ฝ” ๋ถ€๋งˆ๋”˜ ๋‹ค๊ธˆ์† ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์„ฑ ๊ฐœ์„ 
7์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ชจ๋กœ์ฝ” ๋ถ€๋งˆ๋”˜ ๋‹ค๊ธˆ์† ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์„ฑ ๊ฐœ์„ 
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ชจ๋กœ์ฝ” ๋ถ€๋งˆ๋”˜ ๋‹ค๊ธˆ์† ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์„ฑ ๊ฐœ์„ 
๋ชจ๋กœ์ฝ” ๋ถ€๋งˆ๋”˜ ๋‹ค๊ธˆ์† ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์„ฑ ๊ฐœ์„ 
7์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ํŒก๊ตฌ๋‚˜ ๋™-๊ธˆ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์บ ํ”„ ๊ณต๊ฒฉ, ์žฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์•ˆ๋ณด ์œ„ํ—˜ ๋ถ€๊ฐ
8์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ํŒก๊ตฌ๋‚˜ ๋™-๊ธˆ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์บ ํ”„ ๊ณต๊ฒฉ, ์žฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์•ˆ๋ณด ์œ„ํ—˜ ๋ถ€๊ฐ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ํŒก๊ตฌ๋‚˜ ๋™-๊ธˆ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์บ ํ”„ ๊ณต๊ฒฉ, ์žฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์•ˆ๋ณด ์œ„ํ—˜ ๋ถ€๊ฐ
ํŒก๊ตฌ๋‚˜ ๋™-๊ธˆ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์บ ํ”„ ๊ณต๊ฒฉ, ์žฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์•ˆ๋ณด ์œ„ํ—˜ ๋ถ€๊ฐ
๋ถ€๊ฑด๋นŒ ์ž์น˜์ •๋ถ€๋Š” 9์›” 13์ผ ํŒ๊ตฌ๋‚˜ ๋™-๊ธˆ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ๋กœ์ด์ฆˆ ํŒ๊ตฌ๋‚˜ ๋ฉ”ํƒˆ์Šค & ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์บ ํ”„๊ฐ€ ๊ณต๊ฒฉ์„ ๋ฐ›์•˜๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค. ์ง์›๋“ค์ด ํญํ–‰๋‹นํ–ˆ๊ณ  ๋ฐฉํ™”๋กœ ์žฅ๋น„๊ฐ€ ํŒŒ์†๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‹น๊ตญ์€ ๋ถ€์ƒ ์ •๋„๋‚˜ ์žฅ๋น„ ์†์‹ค ๊ทœ๋ชจ๋Š” ๊ณต๊ฐœํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๋‹ค. ์ด์Šค๋งˆ์—˜ ํ† ๋กœ์•„๋งˆ ๋Œ€ํ†ต๋ น์€ ์ด๋ฒˆ ์‚ฌ๊ฑด์„ ๊ทœํƒ„ํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์ •๋ถ€๊ฐ€ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ๊ณ„์† ์ถ”์ง„ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ๋งํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
8์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
NICICO, ์ด๋ž€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์„ ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ 245์–ต ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ๋ฐœํ‘œ; ํƒ์‚ฌ ์‹œ์ถ” 20๋งŒ ๋ฏธํ„ฐ ์œก๋ฐ•
8์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
NICICO, ์ด๋ž€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์„ ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ 245์–ต ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ๋ฐœํ‘œ; ํƒ์‚ฌ ์‹œ์ถ” 20๋งŒ ๋ฏธํ„ฐ ์œก๋ฐ•
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
NICICO, ์ด๋ž€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์„ ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ 245์–ต ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ๋ฐœํ‘œ; ํƒ์‚ฌ ์‹œ์ถ” 20๋งŒ ๋ฏธํ„ฐ ์œก๋ฐ•
NICICO, ์ด๋ž€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์„ ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ 245์–ต ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ๋ฐœํ‘œ; ํƒ์‚ฌ ์‹œ์ถ” 20๋งŒ ๋ฏธํ„ฐ ์œก๋ฐ•
์ด๋ž€ ์–ธ๋ก ์ด ๊ตญ์˜์ด๋ž€๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ์‚ฐ์—…๊ณต์‚ฌ(NICICO)์˜ ์„ธ์˜ˆ๋“œ ๋ชจ์Šคํƒ€ํŒŒ ํŽ˜์ด์ฆˆ ์ตœ๊ณ ๊ฒฝ์˜์ž๋ฅผ ์ธ์šฉํ•ด ๋ณด๋„ํ•œ ๋ฐ”์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ์ด๋ž€์˜ ์ง€์งˆํ•™์  ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์„ ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰์€ ์ด๋ž€๋ ฅ ์—ฐ์ดˆ 222์–ต ํ†ค์—์„œ 245์–ต ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ 10.6% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ(์„ค๊ณ„ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ) ๋งค์žฅ๋Ÿ‰์€ 168์–ต ํ†ค์—์„œ 182์–ต ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ๋Š˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ฒซ 5๊ฐœ์›” ๋™์•ˆ 19๋งŒ 8,462m์˜ ํƒ์‚ฌ ์‹œ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์™„๋ฃŒ๋˜์–ด ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ 50๋งŒ m์˜ ์•ฝ 40%๋ฅผ ๋‹ฌ์„ฑํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฏธ๋‘ํฌ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์—์„œ๋Š” ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ ๋งค์žฅ๋Ÿ‰์ด 123% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•œ 17์–ต 7,000๋งŒ ํ†ค, ์ง€์งˆํ•™์  ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰์€ 186% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•œ 28์–ต 8,300๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ง‘๊ณ„๋๋‹ค. ์‚ฌ๋ฅด์ฒด์Šˆ๋ฉ” ๊ด‘๊ตฌ์˜ ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ ๋งค์žฅ๋Ÿ‰์€ ํ‰๊ท  ํ’ˆ์œ„ 0.41%๋กœ 77์–ต ํ†ค์— ๋‹ฌํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์šด์˜ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€๋Š” ์ด๋ž€๋ ฅ 1429๋…„(์„œ๊ธฐ 2050~51๋…„๊ฒฝ)๊นŒ์ง€ ์—ฐ์žฅ๋๋‹ค. ์ด ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„ ์ด ์ฑ„๊ตด๋Ÿ‰์€ 1์–ต 5,300๋งŒ ํ†ค์„ ๋„˜์–ด ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ ์•ฝ 4% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ์ˆ˜์น˜๋Š” ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฌผ ๊ด‘์„, ์‚ฐํ™”๋ฌผ ๋ฐ ํ์„์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ ์•„๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ™•๋Œ€๋œ ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰๊ณผ ๋งค์žฅ๋Ÿ‰ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์€ ์ด๋ž€์˜ ์žฅ๊ธฐ์ ์ธ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ์ž ์žฌ๋ ฅ์„ ๋’ท๋ฐ›์นจํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ฆ‰๊ฐ์ ์ธ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋ฅผ ์˜๋ฏธํ•˜์ง€๋Š” ์•Š๋Š”๋‹ค.
8์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
July 21 SMM Yangshan Copper Premium Express: foreign Trade Market demand is very weak Yangshan Copper Premium continues to decline - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)