Rare earth trades weakened on week, but "new infrastructure" to prop up the market in long run

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Mar 23, 2020 14:23
Demand for rare earth may continue to face potential impact from the coronavirus, but costs will lend some support to rare earth prices, SMM estimates. In the long run, bullish prospects for Chinaโ€™s infrastructure development and more stimulus measures for its new energy vehicle market are expected to lift consumption of rare earth and revive the market.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
AI ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ํƒ์‚ฌ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ, ๊ด‘์‹œ์—์„œ ์ถœ๋ฒ”โ€ฆ ์ •ํ™•๋„์™€ ํšจ์œจ์„ฑ ํ–ฅ์ƒ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
7๋ถ„ ์ „
AI ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ํƒ์‚ฌ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ, ๊ด‘์‹œ์—์„œ ์ถœ๋ฒ”โ€ฆ ์ •ํ™•๋„์™€ ํšจ์œจ์„ฑ ํ–ฅ์ƒ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
AI ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ํƒ์‚ฌ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ, ๊ด‘์‹œ์—์„œ ์ถœ๋ฒ”โ€ฆ ์ •ํ™•๋„์™€ ํšจ์œจ์„ฑ ํ–ฅ์ƒ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
AI ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ํƒ์‚ฌ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ, ๊ด‘์‹œ์—์„œ ์ถœ๋ฒ”โ€ฆ ์ •ํ™•๋„์™€ ํšจ์œจ์„ฑ ํ–ฅ์ƒ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
[SMM ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๋‰ด์Šค ์†๋ณด] ์ตœ๊ทผ, ๊ด‘์‹œ 274 ์ง€์งˆ๋Œ€๊ฐ€ ์ฃผ๊ด€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์ค‘๊ตญ์ง€์งˆ๊ณผํ•™์› ๊ด‘๋ฌผ์ž์›์—ฐ๊ตฌ์†Œ์™€ ๊ณต๋™์œผ๋กœ ์ˆ˜ํ–‰ํ•˜๋Š” ์ž์น˜๊ตฌ ํ•ต์‹ฌ R&D ๊ณ„ํš ๊ณผ์ œ์ธ โ€˜์ธ๊ณต์ง€๋Šฅ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜ ๊ด‘์‹œ ์ด์˜จ ํก์ฐฉํ˜• ์ค‘ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์ •๋ณด ํƒ์‚ฌ ์˜ˆ์ธก ๋ฐ ํƒ์‚ฌ ์‹ค์ฆ ์—ฐ๊ตฌโ€™๊ฐ€ ๋‚œ๋‹์—์„œ ๊ณต์‹ ์ถœ๋ฒ”ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ด‘์‹œ๋Š” ์ค‘๊ตญ ๋‚จ๋ถ€ ์ด์˜จ ํก์ฐฉํ˜• ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ์ฃผ์š” ์‚ฐ์ง€ ์ค‘ ํ•˜๋‚˜๋กœ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์ž์›์ด ํ’๋ถ€ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ํƒ์‚ฌ ์ •๋ฐ€๋„๊ฐ€ ๋ถ€์กฑํ•˜๋‹ค. ์ด ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๋Š” ๊ด‘์‹œ ์ง€์งˆ๊ด‘์‚ฐ๊ตญ์˜ ์ง€์งˆ ์ž๋ฃŒ์™€ ํƒ์‚ฌ ๊ฒฝํ—˜์„ ๋ฐ”ํƒ•์œผ๋กœ, ์ธ๊ณต์ง€๋Šฅ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์„ ํ™œ์šฉํ•ด ๋‹ค์ค‘ ์†Œ์Šค ์ด๊ธฐ์ข… ์ •๋ณด ์œตํ•ฉ ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ตฌ์ถ•ํ•˜๊ณ , ์ค‘ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ด‘์ฒด์˜ ๊ณต๊ฐ„์  ์œ„์น˜ ์ •๋ฐ€๋„ ํ•œ๊ณ„๋ฅผ ๋ŒํŒŒํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐ ์ง‘์ค‘ํ•œ๋‹ค. ์ถœ๋ฒ” ํšŒ์˜ ํ›„ ์—ฐ๊ตฌํŒ€์€ ๋Œ€ํ‘œ์  ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ง€์—ญ์œผ๋กœ ์ด๋™ํ•ด 1์ฐจ ๊ณต๋™ ํ˜„์žฅ ๋‹ต์‚ฌ์— ๋‚˜์„ฐ๋‹ค.
7๋ถ„ ์ „
๋ฏธ ๊ตญ๋ฐฉ๋ถ€, Phoenix Tailings์— ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ์‹œ์„ค์šฉ 5์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์ œ๊ณต
12๋ถ„ ์ „
๋ฏธ ๊ตญ๋ฐฉ๋ถ€, Phoenix Tailings์— ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ์‹œ์„ค์šฉ 5์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์ œ๊ณต
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฏธ ๊ตญ๋ฐฉ๋ถ€, Phoenix Tailings์— ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ์‹œ์„ค์šฉ 5์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์ œ๊ณต
๋ฏธ ๊ตญ๋ฐฉ๋ถ€, Phoenix Tailings์— ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ์‹œ์„ค์šฉ 5์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์ œ๊ณต
[SMM ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์†๋ณด] ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ตญ๋ฐฉ๋ถ€ ์ „๋žต์ž๋ณธ๊ตญ(OSC)์€ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์ •์ œ์—…์ฒด ํ”ผ๋‹‰์Šค ํ…Œ์ผ๋ง์Šค(Phoenix Tailings)์— 5์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์˜ ์กฐ๊ฑด๋ถ€ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์•ฝ์ •์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ๋Œ€์ถœ์€ ๋ฏผ๊ฐ„ ์ž๋ณธ์„ ํ•ฉ์ณ ์ด ์•ฝ 10์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋กœ, 'ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ค ์‹œ์„ค(Freedom Facility)'์ด๋ผ๋Š” ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์ค‘๊ฐ„ ๊ฐ€๊ณต ์‹œ์„ค ๊ฑด์„ค์— ์‚ฌ์šฉ๋˜๋ฉฐ, ๊ด‘์‚ฐยท์žฌํ™œ์šฉ์—…์ฒด ๋“ฑ์˜ ๋‹ค์–‘ํ•œ ์›๋ฃŒ๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•ด ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ์‚ฐ์—… ๋ฐ ๋ฐฉ์œ„ ์‹œ์Šคํ…œ์— ํ•„์š”ํ•œ ๊ฒฝํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜์™€ ์ค‘ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ธˆ์†์„ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ•  ์˜ˆ์ •์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ”ผ๋‹‰์Šค ํ…Œ์ผ๋ง์Šค๋Š” ํ˜„์žฌ ๋งค์‚ฌ์ถ”์„ธ์ธ ์ฃผ ๋ฒŒ๋งํ„ด๊ณผ ๋‰ดํ–„ํ”„์…”์ฃผ ์—‘์„œํ„ฐ์— ๋‘ ๊ณณ์˜ ๊ธˆ์†ํ™” ์‹œ์„ค์„ ์šด์˜ ์ค‘์ด๋ฉฐ, ์‹ ๊ทœ ์‹œ์„ค์€ 2028๋…„ ์ดˆ๊ธฐ ๊ฐ€๋™์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
12๋ถ„ ์ „
์•„๋ผํ‘ธ๋ผ, ์ธ๋„ ๊ทธ๋ฃน๊ณผ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ๋กœ ๋†€๋ž€์Šค ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์˜ 83.6% ํ™•๋ณด
15๋ถ„ ์ „
์•„๋ผํ‘ธ๋ผ, ์ธ๋„ ๊ทธ๋ฃน๊ณผ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ๋กœ ๋†€๋ž€์Šค ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์˜ 83.6% ํ™•๋ณด
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์•„๋ผํ‘ธ๋ผ, ์ธ๋„ ๊ทธ๋ฃน๊ณผ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ๋กœ ๋†€๋ž€์Šค ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์˜ 83.6% ํ™•๋ณด
์•„๋ผํ‘ธ๋ผ, ์ธ๋„ ๊ทธ๋ฃน๊ณผ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ๋กœ ๋†€๋ž€์Šค ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์˜ 83.6% ํ™•๋ณด
[SMM ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์—…๋ฐ์ดํŠธ] ํ˜ธ์ฃผ ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์—…์ฒด ์•„๋ผํ‘ธ๋ผ ๋ ˆ์–ด์–ด์Šค๋Š” 6์›” 30์ผ ์ธ๋„ ์‚ฐ์—… ๊ทธ๋ฃน ํšŒ์›์‚ฌ์™€ ๊ตฌ์†๋ ฅ ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ตฌ๋งค ์กฐ๊ฑด์„œ๋ฅผ ์ฒด๊ฒฐํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ๋…ธ๋˜ ์ค€์ฃผ์˜ ๋†€๋ž€์Šค ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์—์„œ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ 500ํ†ค์˜ Pr-Nd, ๋””์Šคํ”„๋กœ์Š˜, ํ…Œ๋ฅด๋ธ€ ์‚ฐํ™”๋ฌผ์„ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์€ 5๋…„์ด๊ณ  2๋…„ ์—ฐ์žฅ ์˜ต์…˜์ด ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ๊ณ„์•ฝ์€ ๊ตฌ๋งค์ž๊ฐ€ ์ธ๋„ ์ •๋ถ€์˜ 8์–ต 1,500๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์˜๊ตฌ์ž์„ ๊ณ„ํš์˜ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ์ž๋กœ ๊ณต์‹ ์ง€์ •๋˜์–ด์•ผ ๋ฐœํšจ๋œ๋‹ค. ๋†€๋ž€์Šค ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๋Š” ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ 4,400ํ†ค์˜ Pr-Nd ์‚ฐํ™”๋ฌผ๊ณผ 470ํ†ค์˜ ์ค‘-์ค‘ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ํ˜ผํ•ฉ ์‚ฐํ™”๋ฌผ์„ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ•˜๋„๋ก ์„ค๊ณ„๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช…์€ ์ตœ์†Œ 38๋…„์œผ๋กœ ์ „ ์„ธ๊ณ„ Pr-Nd ์ˆ˜์š”์˜ ์•ฝ 4%๋ฅผ ์ถฉ์กฑํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํ˜„๋Œ€, ์ง€๋ฉ˜์Šค ๋“ฑ๊ณผ ๊ธฐ์กด์— ์ฒด๊ฒฐํ•œ ๊ณ„์•ฝ๊ณผ ํ•ฉ์น˜๋ฉด, ์•„๋ผํ‘ธ๋ผ๋Š” ํ˜„์žฌ 4,070ํ†ค/๋…„์˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ(83.6%)์„ ํ™•๋ณดํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋‚˜๋จธ์ง€ 370ํ†ค/๋…„์€ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ ํŒ๋งคํ•  ๊ณ„ํš์ด๋‹ค.
15๋ถ„ ์ „
Demand for rare earth may continue to face potential impact from the c - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)