SMM Evening Comments (Jul 9)

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Jul 9, 2019 18:14
SHFE nonferrous metals closed mixed

SHANGHAI, Jul 9 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals closed mixed on Tuesday, with the biggest loss of 2.1% in lead. Zinc dropped 1.3%, copper fell 0.4% and aluminium shed 0.2% while tin gained 0.2% and nickel rose 0.7%.

The ferrous complex, except for coke, traded higher. Iron ore led the gains with an increase of 4.1%, hot-rolled coil advanced 1.1%, rebar climbed 1% and coking coal expanded 0.9%.

Copper: The most active SHFE September contract slipped shortly after the opening bell, and touched the intraday low of 46,110 yuan/mt before midday. It traded rangebound in afternoon trade and closed the trading day 0.43% lower at 46,190 yuan/mt. Stronger risk-aversion sentiment from recent losses in China stocks, and concerns over demand amid a global slowdown and trade tensions weighed on copper prices. The contract could, either, find little support from technical indicators, with the middle Bollinger band overhead and a further extended MACD green bar. Whether the contract could remain above 46,100 yuan/mt is crucial to watch tonight.

Aluminium: The most traded SHFE August contract fell below the five-day moving average to an intraday low of 13,720 yuan/mt before some long-buying bolstered it to close the trading day 0.18% lower at 13,745 yuan/mt. Weak supply and demand as well as lower power and alumina costs kept SHFE aluminium weak and rangebound.

Zinc: The most traded SHFE September contract weakened during the day, extending overnight losses to end 1.27% lower at 19,005 yuan/mt. Weaker spot premiums, pointing to anemic consumption, are expected to keep the contract under the lower Bollinger band tonight.

Nickel: The most traded SHFE September contract came off from earlier highs to end the trading day 0.67% higher at 100,150 yuan/mt, standing above several moving averages. It is expected to hover around the 100,000 yuan/mt level tonight.

Lead: The most active SHFE August contract dropped in the last trading hour before closing bell, as a decline in prices of battery scrap, a feedstock for secondary lead, drove shorts to load up positions. Open interest for the contract expanded over 2,000 lots in 30 minutes. The contract lost 2.1% to finish the trading day at a more than two-year low of 15,655 yuan/mt. With short- and medium-term moving averages expanding downwards, longs are unlikely to enter the market tonight, growing the possibility of a lower open and weak performance for the contract.

Tin: The most liquid SHFE September contract traded rangebound to close the trading day 0.19% higher at 135,850 yuan/mt.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
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[SMM ์ต์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ์Šค] ์งํ”Œ๋ž˜์ธ  ์ฃผ๊ฐ€๋Š” ๋ฐฑ๊ธˆ ์‹œ์žฅ ์•ฝ์„ธ๊ฐ€ ์ง๋ฐ”๋ธŒ์›จ ์ค‘์‹ฌ์˜ PGM ์ƒ์‚ฐ์—…์ฒด์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ํˆฌ์ž ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ์œ„์ถ•์‹œํ‚ค๋ฉด์„œ ์••๋ฐ•์„ ๋ฐ›๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ํ•˜๋ฝ์€ ๋ฐฑ๊ธˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ณ€๋™์ด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜์ต๊ณผ ์ˆ˜์ต์„ฑ์— ๋ฏธ์น˜๋Š” ์˜ํ–ฅ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๊ด‘๋ฒ”์œ„ํ•œ ์šฐ๋ ค๋ฅผ ๋ฐ˜์˜ํ•œ๋‹ค. ์งํ”Œ๋ž˜์ธ ๊ฐ€ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ๋ฐ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ ํ™•์ถฉ์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ์ง๋ฐ”๋ธŒ์›จ ๋‚ด ์žฅ๊ธฐ ํˆฌ์ž ํ”„๋กœ๊ทธ๋žจ์„ ๊ณ„์† ์ถ”์ง„ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Œ์—๋„ ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ์••๋ฐ•์ด ๊ฐ€ํ•ด์ง€๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ์˜ ์ตœ๊ทผ ๊ณต์‹œ๋Š” ํ™•์žฅ ๋ฐ ํ˜„์ง€ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๊ฐ€ ์ˆœ์กฐ๋กญ๊ฒŒ ์ง„ํ–‰๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Œ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ฃผ๋ฉฐ, ์ง๋ฐ”๋ธŒ์›จ PGM ์‚ฐ์—…์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์žฅ๊ธฐ์  ์˜์ง€๋ฅผ ๋ถ€๊ฐ์‹œํ‚จ๋‹ค. PGM ์‹œ์žฅ ์ „๋ฐ˜์—์„œ ์ด๋ฒˆ ์‚ฌํƒœ๋Š” ์ƒ์‚ฐ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์ด ์›์ž์žฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ณ€๋™์„ฑ์— ๋ฏผ๊ฐํ•˜๋‹ค๋Š” ์ ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ฃผ๋ฉฐ, ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ์ด ํ˜„๊ธˆ ํ๋ฆ„, ํˆฌ์ž ๊ฒฐ์ • ๋ฐ ์ฃผ์ฃผ ์ˆ˜์ต์— ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์น  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Œ์„ ์‹œ์‚ฌํ•œ๋‹ค. ๋™์‹œ์— ๋ฐฑ๊ธˆ ์‹œ์žฅ ์—ฌ๊ฑด์ด ๊ฐœ์„ ๋  ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ฐ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ง€์†์ ์ธ ํˆฌ์ž๋Š” ์žฅ๊ธฐ์ ์ธ ์ง€์ง€ ์š”์ธ์ด ๋  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค.
12์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
SMM Evening Comments (Jul 9) - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)