[Pb Price]SHFE Lead Gains thanks to Growth in Longs (Aug. 12, 2015)

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Aug 12, 2015 17:10
SHFE 1510 lead outperformed LME lead during Tuesday evening session

SHANGHAI, Aug. 12 (SMM) โ€“ SHFE 1510 lead outperformed LME lead during Tuesday evening session and this further expanded SMM/LME lead price ratio. SHFE lead started at RMB 13,180/mt and finished RMB 55/mt lower at RMB 13,110/mt with the low-end price at RMB 13,100/mt.

China cut the value of the yuan for a second day, which triggered expectation for Chinaโ€™s reserve ratio cut. This supported base metals on the SHFE. SHFE lead regained Aug. 11โ€™s losses due to rising longs and reducing shorts. The contract finally ended at RMB 13,285/mt, gaining RMB 90/mt. Trading volumes surged to 9,050 lots but positions fell 328 to 18,230.

 

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋ฆด๋ผ์ด์–ธ์Šค ์ธ๋”์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์ง„์ถœ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰, ์„ํƒ„ ๊ฐ€์Šคํ™” ๊ณ„ํš๊ณผ ์—ฐ๊ณ„
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ฆด๋ผ์ด์–ธ์Šค ์ธ๋”์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์ง„์ถœ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰, ์„ํƒ„ ๊ฐ€์Šคํ™” ๊ณ„ํš๊ณผ ์—ฐ๊ณ„
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฆด๋ผ์ด์–ธ์Šค ์ธ๋”์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์ง„์ถœ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰, ์„ํƒ„ ๊ฐ€์Šคํ™” ๊ณ„ํš๊ณผ ์—ฐ๊ณ„
๋ฆด๋ผ์ด์–ธ์Šค ์ธ๋”์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์ง„์ถœ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰, ์„ํƒ„ ๊ฐ€์Šคํ™” ๊ณ„ํš๊ณผ ์—ฐ๊ณ„
[SMM ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ต์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ์Šค ๋‰ด์Šค] ๋ฌด์ผ€์‹œ ์•”๋ฐ”๋‹ˆ๊ฐ€ ์ด๋„๋Š” ๋ฆด๋ผ์ด์–ธ์Šค ์ธ๋”์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ(RIL)๊ฐ€ ๊ธˆ์† ๋ถ„์•ผ๋กœ์˜ ํ™•์žฅ์˜ ์ผํ™˜์œผ๋กœ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์ง„์ถœ์„ ๊ฒ€ํ† ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ๊ณ„ํš์€ ์•„์ง ํƒ์ƒ‰ ๋‹จ๊ณ„์— ๋จธ๋ฌผ๋Ÿฌ ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฆด๋ผ์ด์–ธ์Šค๋Š” ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ์•ˆ๋“œ๋ผํ”„๋ผ๋ฐ์‹œ์ฃผ์—์„œ ๊ณ„ํš ์ค‘์ธ ์„ํƒ„ ๊ฐ€์Šคํ™” ์‚ฌ์—…๊ณผ ์—ฐ๊ณ„ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐฉ์•ˆ์„ ๊ณ ๋ ค ์ค‘์ด๋ฉฐ, ํ•ด๋‹น ์ง€์—ญ์—์„œ ๋ ˆ์ฒด๋ฅผ๋ผ ๋ฐ ์นœํƒˆํ‘ธ๋”” ํƒ„๊ด‘ ๋ธ”๋ก์„ ํ™•๋ณดํ•œ ๋ฐ” ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” 30๋…„๊ฐ„ 2์กฐ 7300์–ต ๋ฃจํ”ผ๋ฅผ ํˆฌ์žํ•œ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์ง€ํ•˜ ์„ํƒ„ ๊ฐ€์Šคํ™” ์ฝคํ”Œ๋ ‰์Šค๋ฅผ ์ œ์•ˆํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๊ธˆ์† ์ƒ์‚ฐ์ด ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋œ ์—ฐ๋ฃŒ์˜ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์šฉ๋„๋ฅผ ์ œ๊ณตํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฆด๋ผ์ด์–ธ์Šค์˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ์€ ์ด๋ฏธ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์ƒ๋ฅ˜ ๋ถ€๋ฌธ์œผ๋กœ ํ™•์žฅ๋˜์–ด, ์˜ค๋””์ƒค์ฃผ ์นผ๋ผํŒŒํŠธ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ๋ธ”๋ก(3,100ํ—ฅํƒ€๋ฅด ์ด์ƒ์— 2์–ต ํ†ค ์ด์ƒ์˜ ์ž์› ๋ณด์œ )์˜ ์ตœ๊ทผ ๊ฒฝ๋งค ์ž…์ฐฐ์— ์ฐธ์—ฌํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ฆด๋ผ์ด์–ธ์Šค๋Š” ํ•ด๋‹น ๋ธ”๋ก์„ ํ™•๋ณดํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋ฒ ๋‹จํƒ€ ์†Œ์† BALCO๊ฐ€ 175%์˜ ๊ฒฝ๋งค ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„์œผ๋กœ ์šฐ์„ ํ˜‘์ƒ๋Œ€์ƒ์ž๋กœ ์„ ์ •๋˜์—ˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ๋ฆด๋ผ์ด์–ธ์Šค์˜ ์ž…์ฐฐ ์ฐธ์—ฌ๋Š” ๊ทธ๋ฃน์ด ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ์ œ์กฐ๋ฟ๋งŒ ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋ฐธ๋ฅ˜์ฒด์ธ์„ ํ‰๊ฐ€ํ•ด ์™”๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ตฌ์ฒด์ ์ธ ์‹ ํ˜ธ๋ฅผ ์ œ๊ณตํ•œ๋‹ค.
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ํ•ดํ˜‘ ์ƒํ™ฉ์ด ์†Œํญ ์™„ํ™”๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋งค๋„์ž์™€ ๋งค์ˆ˜์ž ๊ฐ„์˜ ์ค„๋‹ค๋ฆฌ๊ธฐ ์†์—์„œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ๋ถ€์ง„ํ•œ ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ ํšก๋ณด์„ธ๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค [ SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes ]
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ํ•ดํ˜‘ ์ƒํ™ฉ์ด ์†Œํญ ์™„ํ™”๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋งค๋„์ž์™€ ๋งค์ˆ˜์ž ๊ฐ„์˜ ์ค„๋‹ค๋ฆฌ๊ธฐ ์†์—์„œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ๋ถ€์ง„ํ•œ ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ ํšก๋ณด์„ธ๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค [ SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes ]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ํ•ดํ˜‘ ์ƒํ™ฉ์ด ์†Œํญ ์™„ํ™”๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋งค๋„์ž์™€ ๋งค์ˆ˜์ž ๊ฐ„์˜ ์ค„๋‹ค๋ฆฌ๊ธฐ ์†์—์„œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ๋ถ€์ง„ํ•œ ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ ํšก๋ณด์„ธ๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค [ SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes ]
ํ•ดํ˜‘ ์ƒํ™ฉ์ด ์†Œํญ ์™„ํ™”๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋งค๋„์ž์™€ ๋งค์ˆ˜์ž ๊ฐ„์˜ ์ค„๋‹ค๋ฆฌ๊ธฐ ์†์—์„œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ๋ถ€์ง„ํ•œ ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ ํšก๋ณด์„ธ๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค [ SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes ]
[]ํ•ดํ˜‘ ์ง€์ •ํ•™์  ๊ธด์žฅ ์™„ํ™”, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ๋งค์ˆ˜-๋งค๋„ ์„ธ๋ ฅ ๊ฐ„ ํž˜๊ฒจ๋ฃจ๊ธฐ ์† ์•ฝ๋ณดํ•ฉ์„ธ. ์ข…ํ•ฉ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณผ ๋•Œ, ๋ฏธ-์ด๋ž€ ํ˜‘์ƒ์—์„œ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์ง„์ „์ด ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚˜๋ฉด์„œ ๊ฑฐ์‹œ์  ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ๋ณ€๋™ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Œ. ์ด๋ž€๊ณผ ์˜ค๋งŒ์€ ํ˜ธ๋ฅด๋ฌด์ฆˆ ํ•ดํ˜‘์— ์•ˆ์ „ํ•œ ํ•ด์ƒ ํšŒ๋ž‘์„ ์„ค๋ฆฝํ•  ๊ณ„ํš์œผ๋กœ, ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ์ง€์ •ํ•™์  ๊ธด์žฅ ์šฐ๋ ค๋ฅผ ์™„ํ™”์‹œ์ผฐ์Œ. ํŽ€๋”๋ฉ˜ํ„ธ ์ธก๋ฉด์—์„œ ์ค‘๊ตญ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ž‰๊ดด ์žฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ์†Œ ์ถ”์„ธ๊ฐ€ ์ง€์†๋˜์–ด ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์— ํ•˜๋ฐฉ ์ง€์ง€๋ฅผ ์ œ๊ณตํ•จ. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ์ค‘๊ตญ ์™ธ ์ง€์—ญ์—์„œ๋Š” ์‹ ๊ทœ ์„ค๋น„ ๋ฐ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐœ์— ํž˜์ž…์–ด ์ผํ‰๊ท  ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์ด ๊ณ„์† ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑํ•  ์ „๋ง์ž„. SHFE/LME ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋น„์œจ์ด ํšŒ๋ณต ์ค‘์ด๋ฉฐ, ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ์ž”๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ์†Œํ™”๋จ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ˆ˜์ถœ ์ˆ˜์š”๋Š” ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ ๋‘”ํ™”๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋‚˜ ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ํƒ„๋ ฅ์„ฑ์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•จ. ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ˆ˜์š” ์ธก๋ฉด์—์„œ๋Š” ๋น„์ˆ˜๊ธฐ์™€ ์„ฑ์ˆ˜๊ธฐ ๊ฐ„ ์ „ํ™˜๊ธฐ๊ฐ€ ์•„์ง ๋ช…ํ™•ํžˆ ์ •ํ•ด์ง€์ง€ ์•Š์•„ ์‹œ์žฅ์ด ์„ฑ์ˆ˜๊ธฐ ์ˆ˜์š”์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ์ผ์ • ์šฐ๋ ค๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€์ง€๊ณ  ์žˆ์Œ. ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ์•ฝ๋ณดํ•ฉ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ผ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋จ.
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
Hindalco์˜ Baphlimali ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์ด ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์šด์˜์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ์ธ๋„ ์ตœ์ดˆ์˜ ASI ์ธ์ฆ์„ ํš๋“ํ•˜๋‹ค.
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
Hindalco์˜ Baphlimali ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์ด ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์šด์˜์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ์ธ๋„ ์ตœ์ดˆ์˜ ASI ์ธ์ฆ์„ ํš๋“ํ•˜๋‹ค.
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
Hindalco์˜ Baphlimali ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์ด ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์šด์˜์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ์ธ๋„ ์ตœ์ดˆ์˜ ASI ์ธ์ฆ์„ ํš๋“ํ•˜๋‹ค.
Hindalco์˜ Baphlimali ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์ด ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์šด์˜์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ์ธ๋„ ์ตœ์ดˆ์˜ ASI ์ธ์ฆ์„ ํš๋“ํ•˜๋‹ค.
[SMM ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์†๋ณด] Hindalco์˜ ์˜ค๋””์ƒค ์ฃผ Baphlimali ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์ด ์ธ๋„ ์ตœ์ดˆ๋กœ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ŠคํŠœ์–ด๋“œ์‹ญ ์ด๋‹ˆ์…”ํ‹ฐ๋ธŒ(ASI) ์„ฑ๊ณผ ๊ธฐ์ค€ V3.1 ์ธ์ฆ์„ ํš๋“ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 8์›” 13์ผ์— ๋ฐœํ‘œ๋œ ์ด ์ธ์ฆ์€ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๊ณ„ํš, ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌํŠธ ์ฑ„๊ตด, ํ˜„์žฅ ํŒŒ์‡„ ๋ฐ ์ปจ๋ฒ ์ด์–ด ์šด์†ก์„ ํฌํ•จํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. Hindalco ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ์ธ Utkal Alumina International Limited(UAIL)๊ฐ€ ์šด์˜ํ•˜๋Š” Baphlimali์˜ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ์€ 850๋งŒ ํ†ค์ด๋ฉฐ, UAIL์˜ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์‚ฌ์—…์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ์ฃผ์š” ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์›์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. UAIL์€ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์•ฝ 267๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜๋ฅผ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ•˜์—ฌ, ์ด ์ธ์ฆ์€ Hindalco์˜ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ-์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ์ „๋ฐ˜์— ๊ฑธ์ณ ๊ด€๋ จ์„ฑ์„ ๊ฐ€์ง‘๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ์ธ์ฆ์œผ๋กœ Hindalco์˜ ASI ์ธ์ฆ ์šด์˜ ์ˆ˜๋Š” ์ด 11๊ฐœ๋กœ ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚ฌ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ฑ„๊ด‘, ์ œ๋ จ ๋ฐ ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ์ œ์กฐ ๊ณต์ •์„ ํฌ๊ด„ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋…๋ฆฝ ๊ฐ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์ƒ๋ฌผ๋‹ค์–‘์„ฑ, ์˜จ์‹ค๊ฐ€์Šค ๋ฐฐ์ถœ, ์ง€์—ญ์‚ฌํšŒ ์ฐธ์—ฌ, ์ธ๊ถŒ, ์ง์—… ๊ฑด๊ฐ• ๋ฐ ์•ˆ์ „์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ํ™˜๊ฒฝ, ์‚ฌํšŒ ๋ฐ ๊ฑฐ๋ฒ„๋„Œ์Šค ์š”๊ตฌ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์„ ํ‰๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
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[Pb Price]SHFE Lead Gains thanks to Growth in Longs (Aug. 12, 2015) - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)