[SMM Baja] Tekanan pada Baja Turki: Permintaan Lesu Membebani Produk Panjang seiring Risiko Laut Hitam Mengguncang Pasokan Semifinished

Telah Terbit: Oct 07, 2026 14:13 (GMT+8)
[Turki] Harga rebar domestik Turki tetap berada dalam tren penurunan, dengan level dasar ex-works untuk sementara bertahan di 615 USD/ton EXW (tidak termasuk PPN). Secara regional, pedagang Iskenderun menurunkan penawaran menjadi 610 USD/ton EXW, sementara pabrik Marmara mengikuti dengan memangkas harga sebesar 5–10 USD/ton menjadi 630–640 USD/ton EXW. Namun, tawaran balik pembeli tetap sangat rendah, dengan para pedagang mencatat bahwa batas bawah pembelian tunai telah mundur ke 600 USD/ton. Di sisi makro, dampak finansial setelah likuidasi lebih dari 100 dana investasi pada bulan September terus meluas, semakin memperketat likuiditas pasar dan melemahkan keyakinan bisnis. Di sektor produk setengah jadi, billet domestik Turki bertahan di 570 USD/ton EXW di tengah kebuntuan berkepanjangan antara pasokan yang lemah dan permintaan yang lesu. Untuk impor, karena libur di Tiongkok dan hambatan pengiriman di Laut Hitam, billet impor Turki terkonsolidasi di 520 USD/ton CFR. Pemasok Rusia mencatat bahwa transshipment di pelabuhan Baltik tetap terbatas karena kapasitas jalur kereta memprioritaskan ekspor biji-bijian, meskipun beberapa kapal curah bermuatan produk baja baru-baru ini tiba di pelabuhan Turki. Yang terpenting, keamanan maritim di seluruh Laut Hitam telah memburuk secara tajam; setelah kapal tenggelam pada 5 Oktober, dua kapal curah kering diserang di dalam zona ekonomi eksklusif Bulgaria pada 6 Oktober. Lonjakan ketegangan geopolitik ini diperkirakan akan meningkatkan premi risiko angkutan regional, mengancam gangguan parah pada rute perdagangan baja maritim Turki.

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