[Ringkasan Harian SMM tentang Kokas & Batu Bara] 29 Juli 2025

Telah Terbit: Jul 29, 2025 17:26
[Tinjauan Harian SMM tentang Kokas dan Batu Bara Koking] Pabrik baja utama di Hebei dan Shandong secara resmi menerima kenaikan harga kokas putaran keempat sebesar 50-55 yuan/mt, sementara perusahaan koking utama memulai kenaikan harga kokas putaran kelima. Dalam hal pasokan, keuntungan perusahaan koking telah meningkat lagi, tetapi tingkat produksi masih rendah. Selain itu, pabrik baja dan pedagang di hilir melakukan pembelian secara aktif, dan pengiriman perusahaan koking berjalan lancar. Di sisi permintaan, didukung oleh keuntungan, produksi besi cair pabrik baja terus berfluktuasi pada level tinggi, dengan ekspektasi yang lemah untuk pengurangan produksi, yang menunjukkan permintaan kokas yang tetap tinggi. Singkatnya, pasokan kokas secara keseluruhan ketat, dan pasar kokas akan terus bertahan dengan baik dalam jangka pendek.

[Ulasan Harian Pasar Batubara & Kokas SMM]

Pasar batu bara kokas:

Penawaran batu bara kokas rendah sulfur di Linfen berada di 1.450 yuan/ton, sedangkan di Tangshan dikutip pada 1.300 yuan/ton.

Fundamental bahan baku: Hujan deras ekstrem yang terus-menerus di wilayah penghasil batu bara utama Shanxi, Shaanxi, dan Mongolia Dalam menyebabkan pengetatan sementara pasokan batu bara kokas. Didukung oleh permintaan pembelian kaku dari perusahaan baja dan kokas serta pelepasan permintaan spekulatif, tambang batu bara melaporkan pengiriman yang lancar. Ditambah dengan implementasi kenaikan harga kokas putaran keempat, harga batu bara kokas diperkirakan akan naik lebih lanjut dalam jangka pendek.

Pasar kokas:

Harga rata-rata nasional kokas metalurgi kelas satu (kering) adalah 1.660 yuan/ton, sedangkan kelas satu semu (kering) berada di 1.520 yuan/ton. Harga rata-rata nasional kokas metalurgi kelas satu (basah) adalah 1.320 yuan/ton, dan kelas satu semu (basah) di 1.230 yuan/ton.

Pabrik baja utama di Hebei dan Shandong secara resmi menerima kenaikan harga kokas putaran keempat sebesar 50-55 yuan/ton, sementara produsen kokas besar memulai putaran kelima kenaikan. Sisi pasokan: Laba produsen kokas membaik lagi, tetapi tingkat produksi tetap rendah. Pabrik baja dan pedagang hilir aktif membeli, memastikan pengiriman kokas yang lancar. Sisi permintaan: Didukung oleh laba, produksi besi panas terus berfluktuasi di level tinggi, dengan ekspektasi lemah untuk pemotongan produksi, mempertahankan permintaan kaku untuk kokas. Secara keseluruhan, pasokan kokas tetap ketat, dan pasar kokas diperkirakan akan bertahan dengan baik dalam jangka pendek.[SMM Baja]

Pernyataan Sumber Data: Kecuali informasi yang tersedia untuk publik, semua data lainnya diproses oleh SMM berdasarkan informasi publik, komunikasi pasar, dan mengandalkan model database internal SMM. Hanya untuk referensi dan tidak menjadi rekomendasi pengambilan keputusan.

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