Low Inventory to Limit Downside Trend of Copper prices

[SMM Copper Inventory Flash] As of September 3, SMM social inventory of copper cathode across major regions in China fell 20,600 mt WoW from last Monday to 88,900 mt, down 51,700 mt YoY, with regional performance diverging. In Shanghai, arrivals of imported and domestic cargoes were limited. Coupled with a pullback in copper prices and lower premiums, downstream purchases recovered, leading to significant inventory drawdowns. In Jiangsu, inventory built up due to arrivals from smelters. In Guangdong, as some smelters shifted shipments to exports and others were affected by production cuts, volumes sent to Guangdong continued to decline, pushing inventory to a new low for the year.

[SMM Analisis: Premi Spot Tembaga Rafinasi Tinggi Menciptakan Ruang Penetapan Harga: Mengapa Sebagian Pedagang Skrap Menaikkan Penawaran Mereka?] Penawaran millberry berkisar dari 98,5% hingga mendekati par, mencerminkan perbedaan pembeli dan model perdagangan. Premi spot tembaga yang tinggi di Tiongkok dan backwardation LME memungkinkan sebagian pedagang menjual persediaan dengan harga tinggi dan mengisi kembali terhadap patokan 3 bulan yang lebih rendah. Namun, biaya dan risiko basis membatasi strategi ini. Konsumen langsung mungkin menawar lebih tinggi untuk keamanan pasokan, kualitas, dan kebutuhan kandungan daur ulang.