[SMM Aluminum Futures Brief: SHFE Aluminum Maintains Downward Trend, Alumina Accelerates Decline]
Macro front, with the slowdown in market inflation data, expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts in March next year have resurfaced. However, the market is weighing the prospect of relatively small rate cuts next year. The US dollar index hovers near a two-year high, putting pressure on base metals. Overall, macro front, influenced by expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts next year, fundamentals side, although supply-side pressure has slightly eased, off-season demand remains weak, and the risk of inventory buildup in social stocks continues to grow. In the short term, aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate downward.

![La acelerada reducción de existencias de lingotes de aluminio eleva el centro del precio del aluminio, mientras que se espera que el desempeño de la temporada alta limite el margen alcista [Revisión semanal del precio del aluminio de SMM]](https://imgqn.smm.cn/usercenter/XLWyP20251217171654.jpg)
![Precios al contado estables en todos los ámbitos, los precios de transacción fuera de China retroceden, el superávit de oferta y demanda se mantiene sin cambios [Revisión semanal de alúmina de SMM]](https://imgqn.smm.cn/usercenter/YYogD20251217171650.jpg)
