Strait Risk Continues to Disrupt Aluminum Market Sentiment, Peak Season Stockpiling Falls Short of Expectations, Aluminum Prices Under Pressure [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary]
[Persistent Strait risks disrupt aluminum market sentiment, seasonal stockpiling falls short of expectations, aluminum prices under pressure] Comprehensive assessment: macro sentiment fluctuates repeatedly, the Middle East situation enters a state of "neither war nor peace," frequently disturbing aluminum prices in China and overseas; on the fundamentals side, aluminum ingot inventory continues to trend toward destocking, providing bottom support for aluminum prices; however, the SHFE/LME price ratio has recovered, and with digestion of orders on hand, export demand is expected to gradually weaken, domestic end-user demand in China is generally mediocre, the period of transition between off-season and peak season is not yet clear, the market has certain concerns about peak-season demand, and short-term aluminum prices are expected to consolidate on a subdued note.