[NPI Daily Review] Resource Supply Continues to Tighten, NPI Market Still Has Upside Room

Published: Jun 17, 2026 15:28
[SMM Daily Review: Tightening Resource Supply, Nickel Iron Market Still Has Upside Room] On June 17, the upstream sentiment factor for SMM high-grade NPI stood at 2.77, up 0.02 DoD, and the downstream sentiment factor for high-grade NPI was 1.9, up 0.03 DoD.

SMM, June 17,

        June 17 — SMM high-grade NPI market sentiment factor was 2.33, up 0.02 MoM; the upstream sentiment factor for high-grade NPI was 2.77, up 0.02 MoM; and the downstream sentiment factor was 1.90, up 0.03 MoM. The NPI market, driven by concentrated downstream buying, saw overall prices continue to rise, with all-grade cargoes strengthening in tandem, and the market trend fluctuating upward. The demand side became the core driving force of the current price rise. Downstream procurement activity picked up, and purchasing strategies underwent a significant shift: no longer solely purchasing medium- and high-nickel-unit NPI, but gradually increasing procurement of low-grade cargoes, adopting a batching model that pairs low-grade NPI with refined nickel to control overall raw material costs. Overall, downstream diversified blending demand opened up upside room for low-grade nickel sources. Coupled with structural shortages of spot cargoes and continued buying interest, short-term market prices still had further upside room, and the market trend continued to fluctuate upward.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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[SMM Nickel Flash] On June 29, the SMM high-grade NPI market sentiment factor stood at 2.09, down 0.03 MoM. The high-grade NPI upstream sentiment factor was 2.4, down 0.04 MoM, and the high-grade NPI downstream sentiment factor came in at 1.77, down 0.02 MoM. That day, the NPI market exhibited a divergent pattern: suppliers held prices firm with high offers, downstream buyers pushed for significantly lower prices, and low-grade NPI cargoes traded at deep discounts. Tight circulation of port spot cargoes supported suppliers' quotes, but alternative raw materials continued to divert rigid demand, resulting in intense bargaining.
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