BC Copper 2603 Contract Fluctuated and Closed Higher, Macro Sentiment Recovered and Geopolitical Support [SMM BC Copper Review]

Today, the most-traded BC copper 2603 contract opened at 91,130 yuan/mt. It fluctuated downward at the start of the session. After reaching an intraday high of 91,350 yuan/mt, the center of copper prices gradually shifted lower, touching a low of 90,100 yuan/mt, then fluctuated upward and finally closed at 90,850 yuan/mt, up 0.2%. Open interest fell to 789 lots, a decrease of 1,274 lots from the previous trading day, while trading volume reached 4,036 lots, indicating a reduction in bearish positions. On the macro front, reduced uncertainty in US trade policy improved market sentiment, benefiting copper prices; US military buildup ahead of a new round of talks with Iran and turmoil in Mexico supported strong performances in gold and silver, also providing a boost to copper prices. Fundamentally, supply side, domestic and imported copper arrived steadily, leading to ample supply; demand side, downstream enterprises gradually resumed operations after the Chinese New Year, with consumption slowly recovering.

The SHFE copper 2604 contract closed at 102,260 yuan/mt. Based on the BC copper 2603 contract price of 90,850 yuan/mt, its post-tax price is 102,660 yuan/mt, resulting in a price spread of -400 between the SHFE copper 2603 contract and BC copper. The spread remained inverted and continued to widen.