The expected improvement in tariffs is driving a rebound in futures, while stainless steel spot transactions remain weak and await changes. [SMM Stainless Steel Spot Daily Review]

Published: Apr 23, 2025 17:56
SMM Stainless Steel Spot Market Daily Review: Tariff Expectation Improvement Drives Futures Rebound, Stainless Steel Spot Transactions Remain Weak and Await Change. On April 23, last night's news showed that US President Trump stated that the current tariffs on China are too high and plans to significantly reduce them, releasing a positive signal of tariff war easing. Meanwhile, Trump clearly stated that he has no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell, and this series of remarks significantly cooled market risk aversion sentiment. As a result, the futures market performed strongly overall, with all varieties except gold rising, and SS futures also rebounded after the daytime session opened. However, despite the rebound in futures prices, the spread between futures and spot prices for stainless steel remains significant. Due to market doubts about the subsequent trend, the cautious wait-and-see atmosphere is strong, and downstream purchasing enthusiasm has not been effectively boosted, with market transactions remaining weak. Current market transactions are still dominated by low-priced warrants, and overall trading activity has not improved significantly. In the futures market, the most-traded contract 2506 stopped falling and began to rebound. At 10:30 am, SS2506 was quoted at 12,785 yuan/mt. In the spot market, the average price of cold-rolled trimmed 304/2B coils in Wuxi was 13,125 yuan/mt, and in Foshan, it was 13,155 yuan/mt. Currently, although the US has released signals of tariff easing, specific policy measures have not yet been announced, and the subsequent impact on the market remains uncertain. At the spot market level, even as the Labour Day holiday approaches, the expected pre-holiday stockpiling surge has not arrived. Dominated by cautious wait-and-see sentiment, market transactions continue to be sluggish. Although current stainless steel prices are at relatively low levels, downstream demand...

On April 23, news from last night indicated that US President Trump stated that current tariffs on China are too high and is expected to significantly reduce taxes, signaling a positive easing of the tariff war. Meanwhile, Trump explicitly stated that he has no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell. This series of remarks significantly cooled market risk aversion sentiment. As a result, the futures market performed strongly overall, with all varieties except gold rising, and SS futures rebounded after the daytime session opened. However, despite the rebound in futures prices, the spread between stainless steel futures and spot prices remains significant. Due to lingering doubts about the subsequent market trend, cautious sentiment prevails, and downstream purchasing enthusiasm has not been effectively boosted, resulting in continued weak market transactions. Current market transactions are still dominated by low-priced warrants, with overall trading activity showing no significant improvement.

In the futures market, the most-traded contract 2506 stopped falling and began to rebound. At 10:30 AM, SS2506 was quoted at 12,785 yuan/mt, up 75 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. In the Wuxi region, the spot premiums/discounts for 304/2B were in the range of 435-585 yuan/mt. In the spot market, cold-rolled 201/2B coils in Wuxi and Foshan were both quoted at 8,250 yuan/mt; cold-rolled trimmed 304/2B coils averaged 13,125 yuan/mt in Wuxi and 13,155 yuan/mt in Foshan; cold-rolled 316L/2B coils were quoted at 23,650 yuan/mt in Wuxi and 23,800 yuan/mt in Foshan; hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coils were quoted at 22,900 yuan/mt in both regions; cold-rolled 430/2B coils in Wuxi and Foshan were both quoted at 7,500 yuan/mt.

Currently, although the US has signaled a tariff easing, specific policy measures have not yet been announced, leaving the subsequent impact on the market uncertain. In the spot market, even as the Labour Day holiday approaches, the expected pre-holiday stockpiling surge has not materialized. Dominated by cautious sentiment, market transactions remain sluggish. Although current stainless steel prices are relatively low, with downstream demand persistently weak, prices are unlikely to see a significant rebound in the short term. Overall, stainless steel prices are expected to remain stable in the near term.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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The expected improvement in tariffs is driving a rebound in futures, while stainless steel spot transactions remain weak and await changes. [SMM Stainless Steel Spot Daily Review] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)