[summary of SMM Morning meeting] Lun lead concussion downstream is afraid of height and careful mining.

Summary of lead Morning meeting:

Futures market:

Lun lead opened at 1674.5 US dollars / ton. In the Asian session, lead and zinc fluctuated downwards together, entering the European period, Lun lead continued to weaken, and then phased upward revision. However, the 5-day moving average was suppressed, Lun lead fell again to 1626 US dollars / ton, and in late trading, the outer disk nonferrous collectively rose, and Lun lead went up, finally trading at 1642 US dollars / ton, down 32 US dollars / ton, or 1.91 per cent (bearish).

Shanghai lead opened at 14260 US dollars / ton. At the beginning of the session, Shanghai lead moved along the daily average line, and then the non-ferrous metal co-vibration weakened. The Shanghai lead operating platform moved down to 14210 yuan / ton. Near the close, driven by the strengthening of the outer disk, Shanghai lead rose back to 14275 yuan / ton, down 95 yuan / ton, down 0.66% (bearish).

Spot fundamentals:

Shanghai Changchi Honglead quoted price of 200 yuan / ton for Shanghai lead 2006 contract and 100 yuan / ton price for Shanghai lead 2006 contract in Wuxi market. In addition, imported KZ lead quoted price for Shanghai lead 2006 contract Pingshui. Lead futures continue a strong trend, the holder accompanied by quotation, original lead smelter supply, Jinli to SMM1# lead average price discount 50 yuan / ton to flat water quotation; Wanyang to SMM1# lead average price flat quotation, refinery single transaction downturn, mainly to long single trading, recycled lead, recycled lead enterprises are willing to raise the procurement price of waste batteries is low, including tax recycled lead market discount range is difficult to collect, downstream fear of high and cautious procurement, light market trading. (bad news).

Lead price forecast today:

It seems that the support platform formed by the 10-and 20-day moving average is about to fail, and the Geneva lead may continue to be revised downwards; the Shanghai lead newspaper has the lower shadow of the Xiaoyang line, and the long and short sides are entangled at the 5-day moving average, and the trend of the 5-day moving average slows down. pay attention to the support of the 5-day moving average within the day.

It is expected that today's SMM1# lead price will fall by 75 RMB125 / ton.