Early-Month Demand Recovery Failed to Overcome High-Price Suppression, Shanghai Spot Copper Premiums Rose Then Fell [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]

Published: Jun 1, 2026 13:30
[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, a new monthly procurement cycle begins, and downstream restocking demand is released. Suppliers are expected to significantly raise their quotes accordingly. In terms of market performance, as copper prices remain at a relatively high level, after suppliers raise their quotes, downstream enterprises' willingness to chase higher prices remains limited. Some transactions are expected to occur after consecutive quote reductions, with coexisting willingness to hold prices firm and to cut prices for shipments. Overall, amid the tug-of-war between partial release of early-month procurement demand and high-price suppression, spot prices against the SHFE copper 2606 contract are expected to remain at a discount tomorrow.

SMM June 1 News:

Today, SMM #1 copper cathode spot prices against the current month 2606 contract were quoted at a discount of 120 yuan/mt to parity, with an average quote at a discount of 60 yuan/mt. In the morning session, the SHFE copper 2606 contract retreated after a rapid rise. The opening price was 104,070 yuan/mt. After opening, prices edged down, dipping to 104,410 yuan/mt, before stabilizing and starting to rise, touching a high of 104,980 yuan/mt. Prices then pulled back slightly, with the closing price at 104,750 yuan/mt. The inter-month Contango spread ranged from 120 yuan/mt to 40 yuan/mt. The import profit margin for SHFE copper against the 2606 contract ranged from a loss of 410 yuan/mt to a loss of 320 yuan/mt.

Intraday, the selling sentiment for copper cathode in the Shanghai region was 2.72, up 0.17 MoM, and the purchasing sentiment was 2.64, up 0.13 MoM. Historical data can be found in the database. At the start of the morning session, suppliers quoted standard-quality copper at a discount of 80 yuan/mt to a discount of 40 yuan/mt, with Lufang, Xiangguang, and JCC quoted at a discount of 40 yuan/mt, and Tiefeng, Zhongtiaoshan, Jinfeng, Zijin, OLYDA, and Dajiang HS quoted at a discount of 80 yuan/mt to a discount of 60 yuan/mt. Subsequently, suppliers quickly lowered their quotes. Standard-quality Lufang, Xiangguang, and JCC were quoted at a discount of 80 yuan/mt to a discount of 70 yuan/mt. Jinguan, Jinxin, Jintun PC, and Jinfeng were quoted at a discount of 60 yuan/mt for cargoes with invoices dated this month on an ex-factory basis. High-quality copper was scarce, with Guixi and Jintun large plates quoted at a premium of 10 yuan/mt. Entering the second session, suppliers further lowered prices. Standard-quality copper from Zhongtiaoshan, Tiefeng, and Zijin was successively traded at a discount of 120 yuan/mt to a discount of 100 yuan/mt. Jinguan, Jinxin, and Jintun PC were successively traded at a discount of 100 yuan/mt to a discount of 80 yuan/mt on an ex-factory basis. Tongguan was successively traded at a discount of 60 yuan/mt to a discount of 50 yuan/mt on an ex-factory basis. Non-registered copper was successively traded at a discount of 270 yuan/mt to a discount of 240 yuan/mt.

Looking ahead to tomorrow, a new monthly procurement cycle begins, and downstream restocking demand is expected to see some release, with suppliers raising quotes significantly in response. Judging from market performance, as copper prices remain at a relatively high level, after suppliers raised their quotes, downstream enterprises' willingness to chase higher prices remained limited. Some transactions were concluded after consecutive quote reductions, with coexisting sentiment to hold prices firm and to lower prices to facilitate shipments. Overall, amid the tug-of-war between partial release of early-month procurement demand and high-price suppression, Shanghai spot copper prices against the 2606 contract are expected to remain at a discount tomorrow.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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Early-Month Demand Recovery Failed to Overcome High-Price Suppression, Shanghai Spot Copper Premiums Rose Then Fell [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)