【SMM Analysis】Ternary Cathode Transaction Sentiment Recovers This Week

This week, ternary cathode material prices declined. On the raw material front, nickel sulfate and cobalt sulfate showed slight downward movements, manganese sulfate edged up, while lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide saw significant pullbacks. In terms of transaction sentiment, after a month of sustained increases, the price correction for ternary cathode materials created pricing opportunities for manufacturers, and some battery cell manufacturers carried out restocking.

On payables, the overall EV market continued to maintain existing payable levels, and June payables are expected to remain stable. On the consumer market front, due to relatively high spot contract transaction volumes and significant price volatility, some manufacturers expect upward adjustments to nickel sulfate payables in cathode materials next month. This is mainly driven by persistently high nickel sulfate production costs, upstream producers pushing prices higher due to cost pressures, with prices gradually transmitting downstream.

On the demand side, the domestic EV market is currently in a phase of concentrated stockpiling for new models, with orders rebounding notably. The overseas market is also strong, driven by robust European vehicle sales and stockpiling for new product launches by some brands, collectively boosting orders for domestic cathode manufacturers. Overall demand in the consumer market remains relatively subdued, more reflected as need-based restocking by manufacturers. Overall, the ternary market is expected to maintain relatively high demand levels in June.