Inventory Buildup Weighed on Domestic Aluminum Prices, Ex-China Support and Risks Coexisted [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes]
[Inventory Buildup Weighs on Domestic Aluminum Prices; Ex-China Support and Risks Coexist] The risk of supply disruptions to aluminum production outside China has not yet subsided, and the ex-China aluminum ingot supply-demand gap will continue to provide support for aluminum prices. Meanwhile, the continuation of higher-than-expected inventory buildup in China will weigh on domestic aluminum prices. At the same time, tightened invoicing restrictions have constrained aluminum ingot spot liquidity, and the weakening spot market further limits the upside room for domestic aluminum prices. Close attention should be paid to the potential emergence of a turning point in China's social inventory, which could drive a rebound and rise in aluminum prices.