Tesla’s 4680 battery likely to enter mass production. Will the lithium battery industry face reshuffle?

Published: Nov 16, 2021 16:20
Tesla unveiled its 4680 battery during its Battery Day in September 2020, which is a cylindrical battery with a diameter of 46mm and a height of 80mm.

SHANGHAI, Nov 16 (SMM) - Tesla unveiled its 4680 battery during its Battery Day in September 2020, which is a cylindrical battery with a diameter of 46mm and a height of 80mm. Tesla expects that its 4680 battery will have five times more capacity, 16% more driving range and 14% lower costs than the 2170 battery. At present, domestic car companies mainly use prismatic battery. Only Tesla, Daimler, Nissan, Renault, Volkswagen and Hyundai use cylindrical pouch power batteries on a large scale. However, it takes time for car companies to change their battery types. With reference to the speed at which the 2170 battery replaces the 18650 battery, and assuming that the 2170 battery is still the mainstream battery in 2022, it will be gradually replaced by the 4680 battery by 2023 and fully replaced by 2024.

Bigger size, and higher battery capacity due to the use of high nickel ternary cathode materials. The 4680 battery has 5 times more battery capacity than the 2170 battery (not a 5 times increase in energy density), and the increase in battery capacity will also lead to a 16% increase in driving range.

"Tabless” structure allows thermal runaway to be effectively controlled. In terms of heat dissipation, the advantages of cylindrical battery cells are that the capacity of a single unit is low, and the heat release of a single electrical runaway is not easy to spread. Besides, the arc-shaped surface suppresses the heat transfer between the batteries to a certain extent. The cylindrical battery cell itself has a certain threshold for thermal runaway. There is more room for fault tolerance in the module part.

Fewer battery cells and higher space utilisation rate. The cost reduction is mainly due to the fact that the 2170 cylindrical power battery requires 4,400 cells, while the 4680 battery only needs 950 cells, which means higher space utilisation rate and higher assembly efficiency. And compared to the 2170 battery, the 4680 battery reduces the amount of raw materials that do not provide energy density, such as battery separators and steel shells, so as to reduce the costs.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Qinghai Haixi Da Qaidam Magnitude 6.3 Earthquake: Lithium Chemical Production Unaffected
44 mins ago
Qinghai Haixi Da Qaidam Magnitude 6.3 Earthquake: Lithium Chemical Production Unaffected
Read More
Qinghai Haixi Da Qaidam Magnitude 6.3 Earthquake: Lithium Chemical Production Unaffected
Qinghai Haixi Da Qaidam Magnitude 6.3 Earthquake: Lithium Chemical Production Unaffected
[SMM Flash] A magnitude 6.3 earthquake struck Dachaidan, Haixi, Qinghai on June 16, 2026. According to SMM, lithium chemical production in most areas of Qinghai has not been affected for the time being. SMM will continue to follow up on subsequent impacts.
44 mins ago
【Stardust Power Begins Site Engineering Work at Muskogee Lithium Refinery】
1 hour ago
【Stardust Power Begins Site Engineering Work at Muskogee Lithium Refinery】
Read More
【Stardust Power Begins Site Engineering Work at Muskogee Lithium Refinery】
【Stardust Power Begins Site Engineering Work at Muskogee Lithium Refinery】
Stardust Power announced on June 16 that it has commenced site engineering activities at its lithium refinery project in Muskogee, Oklahoma, marking a further step from the FEL-3 front-end engineering stage toward execution-level design. According to the company, Brown & Root has been engaged to carry out related geotechnical work, including site borings and subsurface investigations. The work is intended to assess underground conditions at key locations across the site and provide supporting data for subsequent civil design, foundation design, procurement and construction planning.According to Stardust Power’s previous plan, the Muskogee lithium refinery is designed to produce up to 50,000 mt/year of battery-grade lithium carbonate. Once completed, the project is expected to become one of the largest lithium refining facilities in the US. SMM believes this progress indicates that US domestic lithium refining projects are continuing to move toward engineering execution. However, the project remains at the site engineering and execution-design preparation stage, and further attention should be paid to financing progress, final investment decision, commencement of major construction and the actual delivery schedule.
1 hour ago
[Lithium Battery: EVE Energy's H1 2026 Net Profit Up 95% To 110% YoY]
18 hours ago
[Lithium Battery: EVE Energy's H1 2026 Net Profit Up 95% To 110% YoY]
Read More
[Lithium Battery: EVE Energy's H1 2026 Net Profit Up 95% To 110% YoY]
[Lithium Battery: EVE Energy's H1 2026 Net Profit Up 95% To 110% YoY]
On June 15, EVE Energy disclosed its performance forecast for the first half of 2026. During this period, the net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company is expected to reach between 3.130 billion yuan and 3.371 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 95% to 110%. The performance growth is primarily attributed to product iteration, service upgrades, and process optimization, with operating revenue increasing by approximately 60% year-on-year in the first half of the year. Meanwhile, in the face of upward pressure on supply chain costs, EVE Energy effectively cushioned the impact of material cost fluctuations through diversified supply chain layouts, strategic procurement, and the prudent use of financial instruments, ensuring the stability of profitability in its core business.
18 hours ago
Tesla’s 4680 battery likely to enter mass production. Will the lithium battery industry face reshuffle? - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)